Today · 2026-09-05

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#5 Cal Raleigh vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.4 HR/FB 24.0% #8 Pro pick vs Ethan Pecko FIP 8.19 HR/FB 33.3% #11 Pro pick vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.4 HR/FB 26.3%

📦 STACK Taj Bradley FIP 3.97 HR/FB 19.7% → #4 Munetaka Murakami, #12 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick

📦 STACK Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.4 HR/FB 24.0% → #5 Cal Raleigh, #11 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-04. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	69	-11.2	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) ATL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	40	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffBryan Woo Exit Velo104.8 mph Angle27.0° Distance425 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○○○○○	1.8×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.16 IP1195.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind9 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 39 HR Note77°F, wind 9 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Hunter Goodman (R) ⁵	69	-8.8	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ COL · Coors Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	36	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffOrlando Ribalta Exit Velo108.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance435 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	2.3×	1	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.00 FIP4.11 IP1257.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Coors Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind6 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note86°F, wind 6 mph NW (in) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Munetaka Murakami (L) ³	65	-8.5	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) MIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	18d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	5.3×	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.17 FIP4.33 IP1186.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	Cal Raleigh (S) ³	64	-9.3	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) ATH @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-04 OffKade Morris Exit Velo108.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance373 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○●○○●	0.0×	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.49 FIP4.90 IP1280.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp61°F Wind8 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note61°F, wind 8 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	James Wood (L) ²	64	-7.2	●	Tyler Glasnow (RHP) WSH @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	30	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls6 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	41d Last HR · 2026-07-26 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo109.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance418 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	5.5×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.21 FIP4.05 IP1229.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ⁵	64	-9.3	●	Zack Wheeler (RHP) ATL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.19 FIP3.80 IP1218.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-44 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind9 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note77°F, wind 9 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ⁵	64	-7.2	●	Ethan Pecko (RHP) AZ @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.29 FIP4.63 IP1280.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind6 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ⁵	63	-14.3	●	Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) AZ @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.34 IP1221.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+6 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind6 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ⁵	63	-7.6	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) TOR @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.84 IP1180.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-42 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94°F Wind6 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-42 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note94°F, wind 6 mph E (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ⁵	63	-5.6	●	Anthony Kay (LHP) MIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.09 FIP4.21 IP1216.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteUnknown stadium
11	Pro pick (L) ⁵	63	-4.0	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) ATH @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.49 FIP4.90 IP1280.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp61°F Wind8 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note61°F, wind 8 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ⁵	62	-6.9	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) MIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.17 FIP4.33 IP1186.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	Pro pick (L) ⁵	62	-6.9	●	Zac Thornton (LHP) SF @ NYM · Citi Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.11 FIP4.13 IP1372.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-58 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind11 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-58 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note75°F, wind 11 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (R) ⁵	61	-6.3	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) MIN @ CWS · Rate Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.0% HR/91.17 FIP4.33 IP1186.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
15	Pro pick (R) ⁵	60	-9.1	●	Sonny Gray (RHP) BOS @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.98 FIP3.75 IP1248.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-35 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72°F Wind6 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note72°F, wind 6 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ⁵	60	-12.7	●	Anthony Molina (RHP) SF @ NYM · Citi Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/90.99 FIP4.24 IP1302.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-57 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: conditions are working against carry tonight. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind11 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-3 Spray/Wind-57 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note75°F, wind 11 mph N (in) — modifier: -3 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R) ⁵	60	-9.4	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.31 FIP4.74 IP1217.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ⁵	60	-9.4	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) TOR @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.84 IP1180.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-42 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94°F Wind6 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-42 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note94°F, wind 6 mph E (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ⁵	60	-8.5	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.31 FIP4.74 IP1217.8999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+25 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ⁵	60	-11.5	●	Ryan Gusto (RHP) CHC @ MIA · loanDepot Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.04 FIP4.13 IP1257.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-25 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp83°F Wind9 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-25 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 38 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (R) ⁵	60	-9.4	●	Jacob deGrom (RHP) TB @ TEX · Globe Life Field	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.24 FIP4.16 IP1207.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note96°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (S) ⁵	59	-9.4	●	Ethan Pecko (RHP) AZ @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:15p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls8 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.29 FIP4.63 IP1280.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind6 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R) ⁵	59	-6.9	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) ATH @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.49 FIP4.90 IP1280.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · T-Mobile Park cool air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp61°F Wind8 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note61°F, wind 8 mph N (cross) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ⁵	59	-7.9	●	Dustin May (RHP) MIL @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.08 FIP3.69 IP1219.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind10 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ⁵	59	-5.3	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) ATL @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.13 FIP4.16 IP1195.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-47 Weather · Citizens Bank Park warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77°F Wind9 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-47 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note77°F, wind 9 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ⁵	59	-9.7	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) WSH @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls48 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.43 FIP4.86 IP1259.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+30 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ⁵	59	-6.3	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) NYY @ SD · Petco Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP4.13 IP1197.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · Petco Park hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind9 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note85°F, wind 9 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ⁵	58	-5.6	●	Drew Rasmussen (RHP) TB @ TEX · Globe Life Field	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.20 FIP4.05 IP1223.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp96°F Wind8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note96°F, wind 8 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R) ⁵	58	-8.2	●	Seth Lugo (RHP) TOR @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.6% HR/91.32 FIP4.74 IP1182.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-25 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp94°F Wind6 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-25 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note94°F, wind 6 mph E (cross) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ⁵	58	·	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) WSH @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	9:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.43 FIP4.86 IP1259.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+31 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

15.4%

▲ +0.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 15.1% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-04

38 HRs

23%

9 caught / 38 HRs

in top 50

#6 Colson Montgomery

28.8%

🔵

#9 Miguel Vargas

17.9%

🔵

#22 Max Muncy

15.6%

🔵

#24 Rafael Devers

28.5%

🔵

#26 Cal Raleigh

24.2%

🔵

#34 Ben Rice

16.1%

🟠

#37 Bobby Witt Jr.

12.6%

🟠

#41 Eugenio Suárez

26.3%

🟠

#44 Yainer Diaz

22.1%

🟠

Missed

Zack Gelof Mickey Gasper Gabriel Moreno Vinnie Pasquantino Spencer Torkelson +24 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Rafael Devers ×4 Pete Crow-Armstrong ×3 Eugenio Suárez ×2 Colson Montgomery ×2 Carter Jensen ×2

❄️ Cold

Munetaka Murakami 0 of 7d Jake Bauers 0 of 7d Elly De La Cruz 0 of 6d Hunter Goodman 0 of 6d Kyle Schwarber 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 19.9%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.7%

D 9.0%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-05

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.