16
HRs allowed
10.3%
HR rate (pool)
12.7%
Overall HR/FB
3.63
FIP
3.81
xFIP
-0.18
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
50
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 50th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.9 EV · 399 ft
max EV allowed 116.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 3 HR
30D · 7 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Taj Bradley.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
47.9%
85.2
29.7°
6
-1.0
Cutter Hard
23.6%
80.9
12.3°
4
-0.5
Splitter Offspeed
19.5%
84.5
5.1°
1
+0.2
Curveball Breaking
9.0%
81.8
1.0°
4
+4.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups155
HRs allowed (pool)16
Pool HR rate10.3%
Pool HR/game day0.89
Top-15 matchups10
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB12.7% 50
HR/9—
FIP3.63 33
xFIP3.81
FIP − xFIP-0.18 37
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 47.9% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle29.7°
HRs allowed6
Pitches864
Cutter
Hard · 23.6% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle12.3°
HRs allowed4
Pitches425
Splitter
Offspeed · 19.5% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.5 mph
Avg launch angle5.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches352
Curveball
Breaking · 9.0% usage
+4.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.8 mph
Avg launch angle1.0°
HRs allowed4
Pitches162
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Taj Bradley.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
16 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.9 EV · 399 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
9
2
105.8
2026-07-07
9
1
108.2
2026-07-01
8
0
107.1
2026-06-26
8
2
116.2
2026-06-20
7
0
104.8
2026-06-14
8
2
110.4
2026-06-09
9
3
111.6
2026-06-03
9
1
106.4
2026-05-29
9
2
110.8
2026-05-23
9
0
102.3
2026-05-05
9
0
111.9
2026-04-29
9
1
110.2
2026-04-24
9
2
112.7
2026-04-18
9
0
108.9
2026-04-12
7
0
110.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Taj Bradley isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.