2026
Pricing
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15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 6 HRs · 4 Jake Bauers 5 HRs · 5 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 5 HRs · 7 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 8 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 9 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 10 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 11 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 12 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 6 HRs · 4 Jake Bauers 5 HRs · 5 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 5 HRs · 7 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 8 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 9 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 10 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 11 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 12 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs
2026-07-15 · DATA-DRIVEN

Variance-Backed Card

The top 5 model picks combined produce only ~4% of nightly home runs. Picking chalk every day is a losing game. This card samples 6 picks from where HRs actually come from — backed by the last 30 days of data.

Last 30 days · 713 HRs across 5302 batter-game rows Where home runs actually come from
Anchor #1-15
12.1% of all HRs
20.5%hit rate
Mid-edge #16-50
21.7% of all HRs
15.8%hit rate
Sleeper #51-100
25.4% of all HRs
12.9%hit rate
Deep dart #101-200
40.8% of all HRs
11.6%hit rate

A 6-pick card is allocated proportionally: 1 anchor from top-15 keeps you grounded; the other 5 sample from where the HRs actually land.

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One card per night. Six picks. Sampled from reality.

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