2026
Pricing
Sign In
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 8 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 6 HRs · 4 Yordan Alvarez 5 HRs · 5 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 5 HRs · 7 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 10 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 11 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 12 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs 1 James Wood 8 HRs · 2 Junior Caminero 6 HRs · 3 Ben Rice 6 HRs · 4 Yordan Alvarez 5 HRs · 5 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 5 HRs · 7 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 10 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 11 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 12 Nolan Arenado 4 HRs

MLB Home Run Predictions Today · July 14, 2026

Model-ranked home run picks for tonight's slate — scores, tiers, and pitcher matchups, graded in public every night.

TheHomeRuns.org scores every MLB batter, every day, on 30+ signals — barrel rate, park factors, weather, pitcher vulnerability, recent form — and ranks the board by home-run probability. The model has been graded live for 108 slates this season: 15.4% of top-50 picks homered (1.5× the 10.6% field rate), across 2,508 tracked home runs through 2026-07-12. Every night's board is graded in public — hits and misses — on the track record and in the dated archive below. No deleted bad days, no cherry-picking.

15.4%
Top-50 pick hit rate
1.5×
Vs field baseline
2,508
HRs graded live
108
Slates on the record
No regular-season MLB games today — picks return July 16, 2026. The most recent graded board is below, and the full season record never goes dark.

Last slate, graded · July 12, 2026

Full honesty: what we caught and what we missed. The archive below holds every graded day.
Caught · 4 of 28 HRs in our top 50 (14.3%)
#1 Shohei Ohtani B
#2 James Wood B
#11 Samuel Basallo C+
#27 Shea Langeliers C
Missed · homered outside our top 50

Eugenio Suárez, Chase DeLauter, Jonathan Aranda, Randy Arozarena, Kyle Higashioka, Tim Tawa, Leody Taveras, Josh Lowe, Alex Bregman, Cam Smith, Trevor Larnach, Henry Davis, Brayan Rocchio, Francisco Lindor, Denzer Guzman, Jose Altuve, Brice Turang, Jake McCarthy, Weston Wilson, Marcell Ozuna, Sam Antonacci, Ernie Clement, Braden Montgomery, Nathan Lukes

Full graded page for 2026-07-12 →

Graded archive

Every past board stays up, graded. Pick a date.
2026-07-122026-07-112026-07-102026-07-092026-07-082026-07-072026-07-062026-07-052026-07-042026-07-03
Yesterday's board is public. Tonight's full board is Pro.
The free slice above is real. Pro unlocks every ranked batter tonight, the matchup overlay, and the conviction tools — with the same public grading holding us honest.
See plans
THR 3.3.84 · build 585
⚾

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.

Yesterday's picks graded in full — hits and misses — plus tonight's ranked board, free in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.