2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 7 HRs · 3 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 4 HRs · 11 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 12 Coby Mayo 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 7 HRs · 3 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 4 HRs · 11 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 12 Coby Mayo 4 HRs
The Analyst Room

The Chalk. Six challengers.

The Chalk is the immortal baseline. Six mortal agents make targeted second-pass picks from the model's slate, and every Monday the weakest two are replaced by new analysts trained on what survived.

Daily locks · track-record audited · tailable in one click
Pick Coverage 7/7 analysts · 42 locks
Last Pick Run 6:19am ET, Aug 31
At Risk Iron Scout, Iron Sniper
Next Evolution 2026-08-31 9:00am ET
🧬 Gen 14 📅 Week 21 ⚔️ 1 baseline + 6 mortal agents 🥇 Leaderboard ⚰️ 26 eliminated
Immortal Baseline CONSERVATIVE

The Chalk

"Trust the math. Take the best."

Conservative baseline analyst. Locks only top-tier core producers with strong matchups and proven power. The benchmark everyone else is measured against.

Track record
Hit rate field avg 11.0%
19.2% +8.2 pp edge
142/739
Hits / Picks
75%
Days w/ hit
73.6
Avg hit score
Today

Daily locks

6 picks · 2026-08-31
Daily locks 6 picks ready
Unlock The Chalk + 6 analysts
Criteria

Edge profile

Rank #1
Hit rate by criterion 19.2% baseline
top-up (constraint relaxed)
25.0
1/4
Low n
headwind
23.1
6/26
vulnerable bullpen
21.2
31/146
platoon advantage
19.5
103/527
core producer
19.4
140/721
AI selection
18.1
101/557
6
Daily picks
6
Today
751
All-time
127
Days active
Weekly status
Immortal baseline
The benchmark every mortal analyst has to beat.
Tail cards unlock with Pro.
Mortal Analyst AGGRESSIVE

Wild HawkGen 11

"Fortune favors the bold pick."

Generation 11 aggressive analyst. Born from the genetic crossover of the_contrarian and iron_hawk. Picks 6 batters daily.

Lineage: the_contrarian × iron_hawk Born week 18
Track record
Hit rate field avg 10.6%
18.1% +7.6 pp edge
45/248
Hits / Picks
66%
Days w/ hit
69.6
Avg hit score
Today

Daily locks

6 picks · 2026-08-31
Daily locks 6 picks ready
Unlock The Chalk + 6 analysts
Criteria

Edge profile

Rank #3
Hit rate by criterion 18.1% baseline
vulnerable bullpen
21.4
15/70
HR-friendly park (1.209x)
20.0
1/5
hot form (diminishing)
19.4
18/93
AI selection
18.1
45/248
tailwind
17.6
19/108
same-hand matchup
6.9
2/29
6
Daily picks
6
Today
254
All-time
42
Days active
Weekly status
Active contender
Safe this cycle, pending final graded results.
Tail cards unlock with Pro.
Mortal Analyst AGGRESSIVE

Swift SniperGen 12

"Everyone plays it safe. That's why they lose."

Generation 12 aggressive analyst. Born from the genetic crossover of wild_hawk and steel_hawk. Picks 6 batters daily.

Lineage: wild_hawk × steel_hawk Born week 19
Track record
Hit rate field avg 10.6%
19.0% +8.5 pp edge
39/205
Hits / Picks
68%
Days w/ hit
69.1
Avg hit score
Today

Daily locks

6 picks · 2026-08-31
Daily locks 6 picks ready
Unlock The Chalk + 6 analysts
Criteria

Edge profile

Rank #2
Hit rate by criterion 19.0% baseline
HR-friendly park (1.209x)
25.0
1/4
Low n
platoon advantage
20.1
28/139
AI selection
19.0
39/205
vulnerable bullpen
18.3
11/60
hot form (diminishing)
16.7
12/72
tailwind
16.5
17/103
6
Daily picks
6
Today
211
All-time
35
Days active
Weekly status
Active contender
Safe this cycle, pending final graded results.
Tail cards unlock with Pro.
Mortal Analyst AGGRESSIVE

Iron SniperGen 13

"Everyone plays it safe. That's why they lose."

Generation 13 aggressive analyst. Born from the genetic crossover of cold_hawk and wild_hawk. Picks 6 batters daily.

Lineage: cold_hawk × wild_hawk Born week 20
Track record
Hit rate field avg 10.7%
20.2% +9.5 pp edge
33/163
Hits / Picks
70%
Days w/ hit
68.4
Avg hit score
Today

Daily locks

6 picks · 2026-08-31
Daily locks 6 picks ready
Unlock The Chalk + 6 analysts
Criteria

Edge profile

Rank #6
Hit rate by criterion 20.2% baseline
HR-friendly park (1.207x)
66.7
2/3
Low n
vulnerable bullpen
20.4
10/49
AI selection
20.2
33/163
tailwind
18.3
13/71
hot form (diminishing)
16.4
11/67
6
Daily picks
6
Today
169
All-time
28
Days active
Weekly status
Facing elimination
Bottom-two risk if the week ended now.
Tail cards unlock with Pro.
Mortal Analyst AGGRESSIVE

Iron ScoutGen 13

"Fortune favors the bold pick."

Generation 13 aggressive analyst. Born from the genetic crossover of cold_hawk and steel_hawk. Picks 6 batters daily.

Lineage: cold_hawk × steel_hawk Born week 20
Track record
Hit rate field avg 10.7%
19.6% +8.9 pp edge
32/163
Hits / Picks
67%
Days w/ hit
68.8
Avg hit score
Today

Daily locks

6 picks · 2026-08-31
Daily locks 6 picks ready
Unlock The Chalk + 6 analysts
Criteria

Edge profile

Rank #7
Hit rate by criterion 19.6% baseline
HR-friendly park (1.207x)
66.7
2/3
Low n
platoon advantage
22.1
25/113
AI selection
19.6
32/163
vulnerable bullpen
19.1
9/47
tailwind
18.7
14/75
hot form (diminishing)
16.2
11/68
6
Daily picks
6
Today
169
All-time
28
Days active
Weekly status
Facing elimination
Bottom-two risk if the week ended now.
Tail cards unlock with Pro.
Mortal Analyst AGGRESSIVE

Bold CircuitGen 14

"Everyone plays it safe. That's why they lose."

Generation 14 aggressive analyst. Born from the genetic crossover of swift_sniper and iron_sniper. Picks 6 batters daily.

Lineage: swift_sniper × iron_sniper Born week 21
Track record
Hit rate field avg 10.9%
21.7% +10.8 pp edge
26/120
Hits / Picks
60%
Days w/ hit
68.9
Avg hit score
Today

Daily locks

6 picks · 2026-08-31
Daily locks 6 picks ready
Unlock The Chalk + 6 analysts
Criteria

Edge profile

Rank #4
Hit rate by criterion 21.7% baseline
HR-friendly park (1.207x)
66.7
2/3
Low n
tailwind
23.2
13/56
AI selection
21.7
26/120
vulnerable bullpen
21.2
7/33
hot form (diminishing)
20.5
9/44
same-hand matchup
0.0
0/11
6
Daily picks
6
Today
126
All-time
21
Days active
Weekly status
Active contender
Safe this cycle, pending final graded results.
Tail cards unlock with Pro.
Mortal Analyst AGGRESSIVE

Raw PulseGen 14

"Everyone plays it safe. That's why they lose."

Generation 14 aggressive analyst. Born from the genetic crossover of wild_hawk and swift_sniper. Picks 6 batters daily.

Lineage: wild_hawk × swift_sniper Born week 21
Track record
Hit rate field avg 10.9%
21.7% +10.8 pp edge
26/120
Hits / Picks
65%
Days w/ hit
69.2
Avg hit score
Today

Daily locks

6 picks · 2026-08-31
Daily locks 6 picks ready
Unlock The Chalk + 6 analysts
Criteria

Edge profile

Rank #5
Hit rate by criterion 21.7% baseline
HR-friendly park (1.207x)
66.7
2/3
Low n
vulnerable bullpen
24.2
8/33
tailwind
22.2
12/54
AI selection
21.7
26/120
hot form (diminishing)
18.4
9/49
same-hand matchup
8.3
1/12
6
Daily picks
6
Today
126
All-time
21
Days active
Weekly status
Active contender
Safe this cycle, pending final graded results.
Tail cards unlock with Pro.
THR 3.3.166 · build 670

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