Dinger Tuesday Picks — August 5, 2026
August 5, 2026 is not a promo day — the next one on our schedule is August 11, 2026. Here's what the promo is, how we approach it, and the last promo day graded. Not gambling advice.
The record, in public
Last Dinger Tuesday, graded · August 4, 2026
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Model score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #18 | Mickey Moniak | Freddy Peralta | 61 | C+ Value |
| #37 | Dillon Dingler | Emerson Hancock | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #51 | Taylor Trammell | Trey Yesavage | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #87 | Riley Greene | Emerson Hancock | 48 | D Below |
| #93 | Ozzie Albies | Ryan Gusto | 47 | D Below |
| #94 | Nolan Arenado | Randy Vásquez | 47 | D Below |
| #103 | Willi Castro | Freddy Peralta | 46 | D Below |
| #114 | Kyle Tucker | Javier Assad | 45 | D Below |
| #115 | Austin Riley | Ryan Gusto | 45 | D Below |
| #123 | Dansby Swanson | Tarik Skubal | 44 | D Below |
| #134 | Wilyer Abreu | Davis Martin | 43 | D Below |
| #139 | Jackson Chourio | Jared Jones | 43 | D Below |
| #141 | Josh Bell | Randy Dobnak | 43 | D Below |
| #162 | Gleyber Torres | Emerson Hancock | 40 | D Below |
| #192 | Jarren Duran | Davis Martin | 36 | D Below |
| #193 | Carson Benge | Joey Cantillo | 36 | D Below |
| #202 | Bo Bichette | Joey Cantillo | 34 | D Below |
| #216 | Luis Torrens | Joey Cantillo | 31 | D Below |
| #220 | Caleb Durbin | Davis Martin | 29 | D Below |
| #221 | Nico Hoerner | Tarik Skubal | 29 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Taylor Trammell, Riley Greene, Ozzie Albies, Nolan Arenado, Willi Castro, Kyle Tucker, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson, Wilyer Abreu, Jackson Chourio, Josh Bell, Gleyber Torres, Jarren Duran, Carson Benge, Bo Bichette, Luis Torrens, Caleb Durbin, Nico Hoerner
How we approach a home run promo
A recurring home run promotion turns one day a week into a single-question day: which bat do you put the credit on? TheHomeRuns.org answers it the same way every other day — every MLB batter is scored on 30+ signals (barrel-rate matchup, the opposing starter's home-run rate, park factor, weather, recent form) and the board is ranked by home run probability. The model score you see on each pick is that composite, 0–100.
Two things we do not do. We do not publish promo terms — amounts, boosts, eligibility and availability are the sportsbook's, they change without notice, and we have no way to verify them, so check the book's own promotions page. And we do not hide bad days: every board is graded the next morning against real results, misses included, on the track record and in the dated archive. The whole reason this page is worth reading on a promo morning is that you can check what it said the last time.
Questions
Dinger Tuesday is the name used for a recurring sportsbook promotion on home run props — books such as FanDuel have run recurring home run promos. The terms, eligibility and availability are set by the sportsbook and change without notice, so TheHomeRuns.org does not publish them: check the book's own promotions page for what is live today. We are not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by any sportsbook. What we publish is the model's ranked home run board for the day, and the graded result of every past board.
August 5, 2026 is not a promo day on our schedule — the next one is August 11, 2026. TheHomeRuns.org ranks every MLB batter by home run probability every day; the full board is on the slate, and the last graded promo-day board is on this page. Not gambling advice.
Across 128 graded slates this season, 15.3% of our top-50 picks homered against a 10.6% league field rate — about 1.4x the field. Every board is graded in public the next morning, hits and misses, and the dated archive on this site stays up.
Graded promo-day archive
Not gambling advice. TheHomeRuns.org publishes model output and its graded record; nothing here is a recommendation to place a wager. We are not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by FanDuel or any sportsbook, and we do not state any promotion's terms, credit amounts, odds or eligibility — check the sportsbook's own promotions page. 21+ where legal. If gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.