Six home runs
to freedom.
LongDong™ is the first prediction engine where AI learns from community adjustments and the community learns from outcomes. Every night, the model gets sharper — and so do you. Find the batters most likely to go yard, backed by data you can actually see.
Built by someone who did this by hand
Every morning before first pitch, the founder opened 17 browser tabs — Statcast leaderboards, pitcher susceptibility, park factors, weather reports, lineups — and cross-referenced them all by hand to find the best HR matchups. It was a lot of work. It rarely worked. So he automated it.
The ritual was fun. We kept the research — we just made it actually work.
The Prediction Flywheel
Three forces converging every single night. The AI gets smarter. The crowd gets sharper. The picks get better.
AI Scores the Slate
Every batter ranked 1–150 using matchup probability, park factors, weather, platoon splits, bullpen vulnerability, and recent form — all weighted by logistic regression against 40K+ past matchups.
Community Adjusts
You see something the model doesn't? Bump conviction up or down. Every adjustment feeds back into the engine. The crowd spots edge the algorithm misses — lineup changes, tip sheets, gut reads.
Outcomes Teach Both
After every game, results flow back. The model recalibrates weights. You see which adjustments hit and which missed. Season-long dashboards track exactly how sharp each signal is.
Six Home Runs to Freedom
The math is simple. Six correct HR picks in a parlay pays life-changing money. The hard part is finding the right six. That's what we built this for.
Everything Shows Its Work
Daily Slate Rankings
Every batter ranked 1–150 with composite scores. Tier badges from S to D. Sortable by any factor.
Matchup Overlays
Click any batter for the full breakdown — spray charts, percentile bars, pitcher stats, and adjustable conviction.
Today's Locks
Lock your daily picks, track your hit rate over time, and analyze co-occurrence. Build HR parlays backed by data, not gut feel.
Morning Emails
Today's top picks in your inbox before first pitch. No app to check — just open and you're ready.
Weather & Parks
Real-time wind direction analysis against each stadium's outfield bearing. Domes and retractable roofs accounted for.
Track Record
Season-long performance dashboards. Daily capture rates, rolling averages, and calibration charts — radical transparency.
Questions, before you commit
No fine print, no asterisks — just the stuff people actually want to know.
Is this gambling advice?
How accurate is the model?
What's the difference between Free and Pro?
Can I cancel anytime?
Why TheHomeRuns.ORG?
Food, Shelter, a Premium URL — you can pick two!
The .com economy, like everything else in this world, is incredibly inflated, with many premium URLs costing as much as (or more than) purchasing a home. As a millennial family, the founders of TheHomeRuns.org are committed to bringing baseball fanatics a premium service at an affordable price — and with that comes some sacrifices.
The slate is live. The community is picking.
Create a free account and see tonight's top 5 right now — or preview the slate first.