Today · 2026-08-30

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Pete Alonso vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.27 HR/FB 23.4% #3 Coby Mayo vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.27 HR/FB 23.4% #13 Pro pick vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.27 HR/FB 21.6%

📦 STACK Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.27 HR/FB 23.4% → #1 Pete Alonso, #3 Coby Mayo, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Tyler Mahle FIP 4.17 HR/FB 21.1% → #4 Hunter Goodman, #14 Pro pick

📦 STACK Zebby Matthews FIP 4.89 HR/FB 22.2% → #5 Munetaka Murakami, #12 Pro pick

📦 STACK Shota Imanaga FIP 4.69 HR/FB 20.2% → #8 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-28. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.1% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Pete Alonso (R) ³	75	-11.1	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	32	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffMichael McGreevy Exit Velo102.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance369 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	○●●○○	0.7×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.93 IP1221.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Matt Olson (L)	74	-6.6	●	COL Bullpen Proxy COL @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	37	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%15.6% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo110.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance400 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○●○○	0.7×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.39 FIP4.85 IP1188.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Coby Mayo (R) ³	70	-9.7	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-27 OffCaleb Ferguson Exit Velo111.2 mph Angle23.0° Distance446 ft StadiumBusch Stadium	○○○●○	0.2×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.93 IP1221.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+34 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Hunter Goodman (R) ²	70	-7.7	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	36	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-26 OffOrlando Ribalta Exit Velo108.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance435 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○●●○	0.3×	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.19 IP1152.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Munetaka Murakami (L) ⁴	68	-8.3	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) CWS @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-08-18 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle39.0° Distance406 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	3.0×	1	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.36 IP1140.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-44 Weather · Target Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-44 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ⁴	68	-11.4	●	Chase Burns (RHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.28 FIP4.72 IP1165.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note81°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ⁴	64	-6.6	●	Ranger Suarez (LHP) BOS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.95 FIP3.69 IP1176.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+63 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind11 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+63 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 34 HR Note78°F, wind 11 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R) ⁴	64	-11.3	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:20p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.4% HR/91.57 FIP4.82 IP1026.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+36 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note81°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R) ⁴	63	-5.9	●	Will Warren (RHP) BOS @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.01 FIP3.75 IP1198.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+72 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind11 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+72 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note78°F, wind 11 mph SW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ⁴	63	-15.2	●	Yusei Kikuchi (LHP) PHI @ LAA · Angel Stadium	4:07p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.09 FIP4.30 IP1225.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+59 Weather · Angel Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91°F Wind10 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier7 Spray/Wind+59 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 39 HR Note91°F, wind 10 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +7 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R) ⁴	63	-10.8	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) SD @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.08 FIP4.15 IP1150.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 35 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
12	Pro pick (R) ⁴	62	-6.0	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) CWS @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.36 IP1140.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-29 Weather · Target Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ⁴	62	·	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.93 IP1221.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+37 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ⁴	62	·	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) LAD @ DET · Comerica Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls53 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.04 FIP4.00 IP1223.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-35 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-35 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-5.2	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) COL @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.14 FIP4.19 IP1152.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (S) ⁴	60	-12.1	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:20p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.4% HR/91.57 FIP4.82 IP1026.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+40 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note81°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-6.2	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) CWS @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.18 FIP4.36 IP1140.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-48 Weather · Target Field hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph SE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-48 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph SE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-8.8	●	Janson Junk (RHP) MIA @ WSH · Nationals Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.04 FIP4.10 IP1196.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+50 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note82°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-5.2	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) LAD @ DET · Comerica Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.04 FIP4.00 IP1223.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-32 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind5 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-32 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	-9.0	●	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) PIT @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV95.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/90.99 FIP4.08 IP1193.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp93°F Wind8 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note93°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	·	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV87.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.93 IP1221.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+38 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	-12.4	●	Ethan Pecko (RHP) HOU @ NYM · Citi Field	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls4 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.33 FIP4.68 IP1211.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind12 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note79°F, wind 12 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (S) ⁴	58	-5.8	●	Chase Burns (RHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:20p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.28 FIP4.72 IP1165.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note81°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ⁴	58	-8.4	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CIN @ CHC · Wrigley Field	7:20p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.4% HR/91.57 FIP4.82 IP1026.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+25 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note81°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ⁴	57	-9.6	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) SEA @ TOR · Rogers Centre	1:37p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.88 IP1130.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Rogers Centre mild air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp71°F Wind2 mph S Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note71°F, wind 2 mph S (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-6.2	●	COL Bullpen Proxy COL @ ATL · Truist Park	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.39 FIP4.85 IP1188.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-23 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind6 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-23 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note84°F, wind 6 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ⁴	56	-9.9	●	Kumar Rocker (RHP) TEX @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.22 FIP4.13 IP1151.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp78°F Wind13 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note78°F, wind 13 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ⁴	56	-6.4	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) SEA @ TOR · Rogers Centre	1:37p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.22 FIP3.99 IP1179.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Rogers Centre mild air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp71°F Wind2 mph S Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note71°F, wind 2 mph S (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (S) ⁴	56	-14.1	●	Max Scherzer (RHP) SEA @ TOR · Rogers Centre	1:37p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.00 FIP3.88 IP1130.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · Rogers Centre mild air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp71°F Wind2 mph S Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note71°F, wind 2 mph S (out) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ⁴	56	-7.3	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) BAL @ ATH · Sutter Health Park	4:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.50 FIP4.93 IP1221.0 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+36 Weather · Sutter Health Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph W (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

16.4%

▼ -2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 17.7% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-29

scoring

⏳

Results scoring in progress

Catch-rate and HR totals for 2026-08-29 update once the night's games finish and the model collects results. Usually live by mid-morning.

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Luis García Jr. ×3 Kyle Schwarber ×3 Daylen Lile ×2 Bryce Harper ×2 Hunter Goodman ×2

❄️ Cold

Shohei Ohtani 0 of 6d Junior Caminero 0 of 6d Munetaka Murakami 0 of 6d Miguel Vargas 0 of 6d Yordan Alvarez 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.0%

C 13.6%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-30

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.