⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BAL RHB
Coby Mayo

Coby Mayo

RHB
BAL · 48 appearances tracked
6
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
12.5%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
12.4%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.147
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#2
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 6 HRs in 48 games
Due (1×)
0.2×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
1
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
48
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
17
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
3
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
50%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#88.3
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
3 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-24 #39 Brayan Bello Camden Yards R/R 🔥 103.0 mph 397.0 ft
2026-05-11 #9 Ryan Weathers Camden Yards R/L ⚠️ 99.6 mph 389.0 ft
2026-05-28 #14 Patrick Corbin Camden Yards R/L ⚠️ 110.3 mph 400.0 ft
All Appearances
48 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-30 #100 Trey Yesavage R/R * 13.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-28 #14 Patrick Corbin R/L * 13.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-27 #68 Steven Matz R/L * 13.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 #51 Jack Flaherty R/R * 17.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-05-19 #82 Griffin Jax R/R * 12.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-18 #105 Shane McClanahan R/L * 13.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-17 #173 Richard Lovelady R/L * 9.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-05-16 #153 Cade Cavalli R/R * 4.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-15 #130 Zack Littell R/R * 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-13 #60 Max Fried R/L * 11.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-12 #61 Will Warren R/R * 10.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-11 #9 Ryan Weathers R/L * 17.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-10 #16 Luis Severino R/R * 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-09 #23 Aaron Civale R/R * 11.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-08 #16 Jacob Lopez R/L * 16.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-07 #75 Max Meyer R/R * 7.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-06 #73 Eury Pérez R/R * 17.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-05 #72 Sandy Alcantara R/R * 12.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-04 #6 Cam Schlittler R/R * 20.0% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-03 #2 Max Fried R/L * 18.6% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-02 #3 Ryan Weathers R/L * 29.8% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-01 #2 Will Warren R/R * 14.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-04-30 #32 Peter Lambert R/R * 21.3% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-04-30 #21 Lance McCullers Jr. R/R * 21.8% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-04-29 #20 Peter Lambert R/R * 22.4% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-04-28 #27 Kai-Wei Teng R/R * 19.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-04-25 #32 Garrett Crochet R/L 30.9% 🟢 A 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-04-24 #39 Brayan Bello R/R 32.3% 🟢 A 🔥 HOT 🔥 💥
2026-04-22 #235 Michael Wacha R/R 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-04-21 #218 Kris Bubic R/L 5.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-04-20 #156 Seth Lugo R/R 4.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-19 #186 Joey Cantillo R/L 7.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 #189 Gavin Williams R/R 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-17 #164 Tanner Bibee R/R 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-16 #116 Parker Messick R/L 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-15 #113 Eduardo Rodriguez R/L 1.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 #132 Adrian Houser R/R 1.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 #100 Logan Webb R/R 10.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 #111 Sean Burke R/R 9.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 #130 Shane Smith R/R 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 #210 Grant Taylor R/R 1.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-05 #240 Braxton Ashcraft R/R 5.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 #182 Carmen Mlodzinski R/R 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 #62 Nathan Eovaldi R/R 13.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 #81 Jack Leiter R/R 13.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 #41 Bailey Ober R/R 15.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 #40 Taj Bradley · 15.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-26 #66 Joe Ryan · 12.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·

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