MLB Home Run Predictions — August 27, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-08-27: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for August 27, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
15
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
43.6 vs 41.3
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #12 | Jac Caglianone | Spencer Arrighetti | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #18 | Coby Mayo | Gordon Graceffo | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #19 | Christian Walker | Gerrit Cole | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #21 | Jackson Chourio | Sean Manaea | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #22 | Jeremy Peña | Gerrit Cole | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #24 | Drake Baldwin | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #33 | Carter Jensen | Spencer Arrighetti | 48 | D Below |
| #36 | Daylen Lile | Gabriel Hughes | 46 | D Below |
| #51 | Keibert Ruiz | Gabriel Hughes | 42 | D Below |
| #54 | Vinnie Pasquantino | Spencer Arrighetti | 42 | D Below |
| #79 | George Springer | Noah Cameron | 36 | D Below |
| #82 | Drew Gilbert | Jose Cabrera | 34 | D Below |
| #83 | Gabriel Moreno | Landen Roupp | 34 | D Below |
| #88 | Ramón Urías | Trevor Rogers | 33 | D Below |
| #96 | Blaze Jordan | Trevor Rogers | 32 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Keibert Ruiz, Vinnie Pasquantino, George Springer, Drew Gilbert, Gabriel Moreno, Ramón Urías, Blaze Jordan
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.