MLB Home Run Predictions — August 28, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-08-28: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for August 28, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
26
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
46.7 vs 42.9
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #10 | Heriberto Hernández | Jackson Kent | 62 | C+ Value |
| #21 | Michael Harris II | Tomoyuki Sugano | 60 | C+ Value |
| #31 | Sal Stewart | David Peterson | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #36 | Colson Montgomery | Dean Kremer | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #37 | Kody Clemens | Luis Castillo | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #43 | Paul Goldschmidt | Patrick Sandoval | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #45 | Jackson Merrill | Shane McClanahan | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #51 | Carter Jensen | Tanner Bibee | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #53 | Michael Busch | Rhett Lowder | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #54 | Kazuma Okamoto | Emerson Hancock | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #63 | Bryce Eldridge | Kohl Drake | 49 | D Below |
| #72 | Brady House | Eury Pérez | 48 | D Below |
| #74 | Brooks Lee | Luis Castillo | 48 | D Below |
| #91 | Harry Ford | Eury Pérez | 46 | D Below |
| #96 | Yandy Díaz | Casey Mize | 46 | D Below |
| #101 | Tyler Stephenson | David Peterson | 46 | D Below |
| #108 | Dominic Canzone | Dylan Cease | 44 | D Below |
| #115 | Pedro Ramírez | Rhett Lowder | 44 | D Below |
| #117 | Corbin Carroll | Blade Tidwell | 43 | D Below |
| #143 | Cedric Mullins | Casey Mize | 40 | D Below |
| #149 | George Springer | Emerson Hancock | 39 | D Below |
| #157 | Jose Trevino | David Peterson | 39 | D Below |
| #172 | Danny Jansen | Logan Henderson | 37 | D Below |
| #196 | Jimmy Crooks | Jared Jones | 35 | D Below |
| #198 | Tim Tawa | Blade Tidwell | 34 | D Below |
| #210 | Nathan Lukes | Emerson Hancock | 33 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Carter Jensen, Michael Busch, Kazuma Okamoto, Bryce Eldridge, Brady House, Brooks Lee, Harry Ford, Yandy Díaz, Tyler Stephenson, Dominic Canzone, Pedro Ramírez, Corbin Carroll, Cedric Mullins, George Springer, Jose Trevino, Danny Jansen, Jimmy Crooks, Tim Tawa, Nathan Lukes
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.