Carter Jensen
LHB
KC
· 108 appearances tracked
17
HRs
15.7%
HR Rate
18.5%
Avg HR/FB
90.5
Avg EV
0.194
ISO
#12
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.191
Avg EV91.0
Barrel%7.3%
HR/FB vs LHP12.0%
Avg HR Dist396
Match%17.3%
Season HR%
15.7%
14D Pace
27.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
51.1%
15
Breaking
34.1%
2
Offspeed
14.8%
2
All
100%
10.7%
19
28.7%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Parker Messick · LHP · KC
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Parker Messick in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Progressive Neutral
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Even
Weather +1
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
7.3
vs
—
HR/FB
12.0
vs
11.1 ▲ edge
K%
28.7
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
17 this season · avg 410 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 29
Grant Holmes · Truist Park
—
99.6
371.0
Apr 10
Davis Martin · Kauffman Stadium
—
113.7
425.0
Apr 18
Will Warren · Yankee Stadium
—
103.4
357.0
Apr 22
Chris Bassitt · Kauffman Stadium
—
106.3
421.0
Jul 2
vs TB · Ian Seymour
—
106.7
449
Jul 31
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
—
102.5
424
Aug 27
@ TOR · Spencer Arrighetti
—
107.5
421
HR by month
Apr
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
108 tracked · 17 HR · 40 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ CLE · Foster Griffin
3
97.9
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
107.2
HR
3 BIP
Aug 27
@ TOR · Spencer Arrighetti
1
107.5
HR
1 BIP
Aug 26
@ TOR · Spencer Miles
3
98.7
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ TOR · Max Scherzer
3
107.4
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs DET · Drew Anderson
2
104.3
2 BIP
Aug 21
vs DET · Troy Melton
4
107.5
HR
4 BIP
Aug 19
vs ATH · Jeffrey Springs
2
110.3
2 BIP
Aug 18
vs ATH · Brady Basso
2
95.0
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs ATH · Mason Barnett
4
101.5
4 BIP
Aug 16
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
83.8
3 BIP
Aug 15
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
0
—
—
Aug 14
@ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez
3
93.9
3 BIP
Aug 12
@ LAD · Eric Lauer
3
107.2
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ LAD · LAD Bullpen Proxy
2
107.5
2 BIP
Aug 10
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
95.2
2 BIP
Aug 8
vs CHC · Clay Holmes
3
98.9
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs CHC · Kevin Gausman
1
96.1
HR
1 BIP
Aug 6
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
105.7
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs MIN · Dean Kremer
2
92.3
2 BIP
Aug 4
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
1
103.6
1 BIP
Aug 2
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
2
101.7
2 BIP
Aug 1
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
4
93.5
4 BIP
Jul 31
@ COL · Tomoyuki Sugano
3
102.5
HR
3 BIP
Jul 30
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
2
91.2
2 BIP
Jul 29
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
2
101.0
2 BIP
Jul 28
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
1
106.6
1 BIP
Jul 25
@ DET · Casey Mize
3
102.0
3 BIP
Jul 24
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
1
102.1
1 BIP
Jul 23
@ DET · Troy Melton
3
99.5
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs SF · Landen Roupp
2
83.5
2 BIP
Jul 21
vs SF · Tyler Mahle
4
106.7
HR
4 BIP
Jul 20
vs SF · Trevor McDonald
4
104.3
4 BIP
Jul 19
vs SD · Germán Márquez
2
99.3
2 BIP
Jul 18
vs SD · Griffin Canning
2
105.7
2 BIP
Jul 17
vs SD · Michael King
5
100.3
5 BIP
Jul 12
@ BAL · Shane Baz
1
102.8
1 BIP
Jul 11
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
1
79.3
1 BIP
Jul 10
@ BAL · Brandon Young
3
98.3
3 BIP
Jul 8
@ NYM · Christian Scott
2
104.0
2 BIP
Jul 7
@ NYM · Cionel Pérez
3
104.0
3 BIP
Jul 5
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
2
93.0
2 BIP
Jul 4
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
86.0
1 BIP
Jul 2
vs TB · Ian Seymour
3
106.7
HR
3 BIP
Jul 1
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
2
102.4
2 BIP
Jun 30
vs TB · Griffin Jax
2
106.2
HR
2 BIP
Jun 28
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
4
96.8
4 BIP
Jun 27
@ CWS · Davis Martin
3
108.5
3 BIP
Jun 26
@ CWS · David Sandlin
3
102.5
3 BIP
Jun 25
@ TB · Casey Legumina
3
105.7
HR
3 BIP
Jun 24
@ TB · Griffin Jax
3
78.3
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ TB · Shane McClanahan
4
108.4
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
3
109.2
3 BIP
Jun 21
vs STL · Dustin May
2
99.7
HR
2 BIP
Jun 19
vs STL · Michael McGreevy
4
104.3
4 BIP
Jun 18
vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
5
108.4
5 BIP
Jun 17
@ WSH · Zack Littell
4
105.5
HR
4 BIP
Jun 15
@ WSH · Andrew Alvarez
3
104.3
3 BIP
Jun 14
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
106.4
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
5
106.2
5 BIP
Jun 12
vs HOU · Tatsuya Imai
3
88.6
3 BIP
Jun 11
vs TEX · Kumar Rocker
4
107.2
4 BIP
Jun 9
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
3
111.5
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
2
102.8
2 BIP
Jun 6
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
4
109.8
HR
4 BIP
Jun 5
@ MIN · Zebby Matthews
3
102.7
3 BIP
Jun 4
@ MIN · Andrew Morris
3
103.6
3 BIP
Jun 3
@ CIN · Chase Burns
1
87.8
1 BIP
Jun 1
@ CIN · Lyon Richardson
3
98.8
3 BIP
May 31
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
2
107.3
2 BIP
May 30
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
5
99.1
HR
5 BIP
May 27
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
2
82.7
2 BIP
May 26
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
4
110.7
4 BIP
May 25
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
93.2
3 BIP
May 24
vs SEA · Bryan Woo
3
99.1
3 BIP
May 23
vs SEA · George Kirby
3
103.4
3 BIP
May 22
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
2
86.2
2 BIP
May 20
vs BOS · Connelly Early
0
—
—
May 19
vs BOS · Ranger Suarez
3
92.3
3 BIP
May 18
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
1
95.5
1 BIP
May 17
@ STL · Andre Pallante
2
90.6
2 BIP
May 16
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
3
97.3
3 BIP
May 15
@ STL · Dustin May
4
105.1
4 BIP
May 13
@ CWS · Noah Schultz
2
110.9
2 BIP
May 12
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
1
91.3
1 BIP
May 9
vs DET · Burch Smith
2
105.0
2 BIP
May 8
vs DET · Keider Montero
1
75.3
1 BIP
May 7
vs CLE · Slade Cecconi
2
89.4
2 BIP
May 6
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
0
—
—
May 5
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
0
—
—
May 4
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
3
98.5
3 BIP
May 3
@ SEA · Luis Castillo
1
93.8
1 BIP
May 2
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
1
95.2
1 BIP
May 1
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
4
98.3
4 BIP
Apr 30
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
1
96.3
1 BIP
Apr 29
@ ATH · Luis Severino
2
101.0
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs LAA · Reid Detmers
3
107.7
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs LAA · Walbert Urena
3
93.7
3 BIP
Apr 24
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
4
104.2
4 BIP
Apr 22
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
3
106.3
HR
3 BIP
Apr 21
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
105.3
3 BIP
Apr 20
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
94.3
3 BIP
Apr 18
@ NYY · Will Warren
2
112.0
HR
2 BIP
Apr 17
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
0
—
—
Apr 16
@ DET · Keider Montero
5
104.6
5 BIP
Apr 15
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
2
96.9
2 BIP
Apr 10
vs CWS · Davis Martin
2
113.7
HR
2 BIP
Mar 29
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
2
99.6
HR
2 BIP
Ballpark
Progressive Field · open-air
Park Factor
0.969
Wind
9 mph from WNW
Temp
81°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:40p
9 →
81°
-2
2:40p
8 →
79°
+1
3:40p
5 →
77°
+3
4:40p
2 →
74°
+1
5:40p
2 →
73°
+1
+1
Neutral alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to pull (from WSW)
Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.
Score Breakdown
Base 47 → 47
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
recent hr density 14d
HR/FB Matchup
Exit Velocity
Pitcher FIP
Common questions about Carter Jensen
Will Carter Jensen hit a home run today?
Carter Jensen is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #72 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Parker Messick at Progressive Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Carter Jensen hit home runs?
Across 108 scored games this season, Carter Jensen has 17 home runs — one every 6.4 games, or about 16% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.