MLB Home Run Predictions — September 2, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-09-02: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for September 2, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
27
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
45.3 vs 44.4
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #8 | Juan Soto | Griffin Jax | 65 | C+ Value |
| #21 | Ty France | Brandon Williamson | 60 | C+ Value |
| #23 | Jackson Chourio | David Peterson | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #25 | Rafael Devers | Bubba Chandler | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #30 | Justin Foscue | Jacob Lopez | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #44 | Carter Jensen | Eury Pérez | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #59 | JJ Bleday | Casey Mize | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #60 | Kyle Stowers | Noah Cameron | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #67 | Sean Murphy | Brad Lord | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #77 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | Brad Lord | 49 | D Below |
| #78 | Alex Bregman | Jacob Misiorowski | 49 | D Below |
| #98 | Ezequiel Duran | Jacob Lopez | 46 | D Below |
| #101 | Salvador Perez | Eury Pérez | 46 | D Below |
| #103 | Zack Gelof | Cody Bradford | 46 | D Below |
| #136 | Jonah Heim | Cody Bradford | 42 | D Below |
| #145 | Mookie Betts | STL Bullpen Proxy | 45 | D Below |
| #146 | Freddie Freeman | STL Bullpen Proxy | 45 | D Below |
| #159 | James McCann | Andrew Painter | 40 | D Below |
| #185 | Henry Bolte | Cody Bradford | 37 | D Below |
| #188 | Roman Anthony | Bryce Miller | 37 | D Below |
| #195 | Juan Brito | Casey Mize | 36 | D Below |
| #200 | Javier Sanoja | Noah Cameron | 35 | D Below |
| #202 | Jakob Marsee | Noah Cameron | 35 | D Below |
| #215 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Joey Cantillo | 33 | D Below |
| #219 | Alika Williams | Cody Bradford | 32 | D Below |
| #222 | Vaughn Grissom | Cam Schlittler | 31 | D Below |
| #229 | Richie Palacios | NYM Bullpen Proxy | 34 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
JJ Bleday, Kyle Stowers, Sean Murphy, Ronald Acuña Jr., Alex Bregman, Ezequiel Duran, Salvador Perez, Zack Gelof, Jonah Heim, Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, James McCann, Henry Bolte, Roman Anthony, Juan Brito, Javier Sanoja, Jakob Marsee, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Alika Williams, Vaughn Grissom, Richie Palacios
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.