2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 7 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 10 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 11 Nick Sogard 4 HRs · 12 Sal Stewart 4 HRs
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIA · LHB
Jakob Marsee

Jakob Marsee

LHB
MIA · 106 appearances tracked
8 HRs
7.5% HR Rate
7.3% Avg HR/FB
87.2 Avg EV
0.099 ISO
#60 Best Rank
as of 2026-08-30
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
20
0.114
Avg EV
24
87.2
Barrel%
9
4.6%
HR/FB vs LHP
40
11.1%
Avg HR Dist
13
381
Match%
31
9.3%
Season HR%
7.5%
14D Pace
12.5%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
20
24
9
40
13
31
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 23 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 65.6%
3.1%
5
15.2%
Breaking 21.9%
1.8%
1
37.5%
Offspeed 12.5%
7.3%
2
23.4%
All 100% 3.4% 8 21.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Andrew Alvarez · LHP · MIA
SMALL SAMPLE · 2 PA · since 2025
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-2 across 2 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 2 of 4 active
Nationals +HR Pitcher form Steady Platoon Even Weather +3
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 4.6 vs
4.6
HR/FB 11.1 vs 15.4 ▼ risk
11.1
15.4
K% 21.1 vs
21.1
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances 106 tracked · 8 HR · 0 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Aug 29 @ WSH · Cade Cavalli 1 69.3 1 BIP
Aug 26 vs BOS · Sonny Gray 3 104.9 3 BIP
Aug 24 vs BOS · Ranger Suarez 2 96.3 2 BIP
Aug 22 vs WSH · Jake Irvin 3 100.3 HR 3 BIP
Aug 21 vs WSH · Brad Lord 2 90.6 2 BIP
Aug 19 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 4 102.5 4 BIP
Aug 18 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 2 83.3 2 BIP
Aug 16 @ CIN · Nick Lodolo 2 92.9 2 BIP
Aug 15 @ CIN · Brady Singer 4 103.9 HR 4 BIP
Aug 14 @ CIN · Chase Burns 3 91.0 3 BIP
Aug 13 vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 3 101.1 3 BIP
Aug 12 vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski 5 90.2 5 BIP
Aug 11 vs PIT · Paul Skenes 2 97.3 2 BIP
Aug 9 vs LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 4 101.8 4 BIP
Aug 8 vs LAA · Walbert Ureña 4 100.2 4 BIP
Aug 7 vs LAA · George Klassen 2 73.6 2 BIP
Aug 5 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 2 103.0 2 BIP
Aug 4 @ ATL · Grant Holmes 4 99.6 4 BIP
Jul 31 @ NYM · Kodai Senga 3 102.6 3 BIP
Jul 30 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 2 99.7 HR 2 BIP
Jul 29 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 2 87.0 2 BIP
Jul 28 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 2 89.8 2 BIP
Jul 27 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 3 100.0 3 BIP
Jul 25 vs SD · Randy Vásquez 1 97.9 1 BIP
Jul 24 vs SD · Germán Márquez 2 98.4 2 BIP
Jul 22 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 0
Jul 21 @ HOU · Tatsuya Imai 2 93.9 2 BIP
Jul 20 @ HOU · HOU Bullpen Proxy 1 92.0 1 BIP
Jul 19 @ MIL · Robert Gasser 2 104.1 2 BIP
Jul 17 @ MIL · Logan Henderson 3 85.7 3 BIP
Jul 11 vs CLE · Tanner Bibee 2 98.2 2 BIP
Jul 10 vs CLE · Parker Messick 3 105.2 3 BIP
Jul 9 vs SEA · Bryce Miller 3 88.3 3 BIP
Jul 8 vs SEA · George Kirby 3 98.2 3 BIP
Jul 7 vs SEA · Bryan Woo 5 96.5 5 BIP
Jul 5 @ ATH · Gage Jump 1 95.0 1 BIP
Jul 4 @ ATH · Aaron Civale 3 99.8 3 BIP
Jul 3 @ ATH · Jack Perkins 2 106.2 HR 2 BIP
Jul 2 @ COL · Michael Lorenzen 3 97.7 3 BIP
Jul 1 @ COL · Kyle Freeland 0
Jun 30 @ COL · Tanner Gordon 6 98.1 6 BIP
Jun 29 @ COL · Sean Sullivan 3 106.0 3 BIP
Jun 28 @ STL · Kyle Leahy 2 81.8 2 BIP
Jun 27 @ STL · Andre Pallante 2 105.6 2 BIP
Jun 26 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 5 103.6 5 BIP
Jun 24 vs TEX · Jacob deGrom 2 91.7 2 BIP
Jun 23 vs TEX · Cal Quantrill 3 91.0 3 BIP
Jun 22 vs TEX · Tyler Alexander 2 94.6 2 BIP
Jun 21 vs SF · Logan Webb 4 84.3 4 BIP
Jun 20 vs SF · Trevor McDonald 4 103.0 4 BIP
Jun 19 vs SF · Landen Roupp 2 87.6 2 BIP
Jun 17 @ PHI · Andrew Painter 3 102.5 HR 3 BIP
Jun 16 @ PHI · Jesús Luzardo 3 107.3 3 BIP
Jun 15 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 2 78.2 2 BIP
Jun 14 @ PIT · Paul Skenes 2 105.6 2 BIP
Jun 13 @ PIT · Bubba Chandler 2 96.7 2 BIP
Jun 12 @ PIT · Braxton Ashcraft 1 77.0 1 BIP
Jun 11 vs AZ · Merrill Kelly 2 96.8 2 BIP
Jun 10 vs AZ · Ryne Nelson 3 105.8 3 BIP
Jun 9 vs AZ · Zac Gallen 4 104.0 4 BIP
Jun 7 vs TB · Griffin Jax 1 100.1 1 BIP
Jun 5 vs TB · Drew Rasmussen 1 94.3 1 BIP
Jun 2 @ WSH · Richard Lovelady 4 91.3 4 BIP
Jun 1 @ WSH · Cade Cavalli 2 88.0 2 BIP
May 31 @ NYM · Nolan McLean 2 81.9 2 BIP
May 30 @ NYM · Christian Scott 2 97.1 2 BIP
May 29 @ NYM · Freddy Peralta 4 99.6 4 BIP
May 27 @ TOR · Kevin Gausman 2 96.3 2 BIP
May 26 @ TOR · Braydon Fisher 3 94.0 3 BIP
May 25 @ TOR · Trey Yesavage 2 97.5 2 BIP
May 24 vs NYM · Christian Scott 4 93.0 4 BIP
May 23 vs NYM · Freddy Peralta 3 95.0 3 BIP
May 22 vs NYM · Tobias Myers 2 98.3 2 BIP
May 21 vs ATL · Spencer Strider 3 96.8 3 BIP
May 20 vs ATL · Chris Sale 0
May 18 vs ATL · JR Ritchie 2 101.7 2 BIP
May 17 @ TB · Drew Rasmussen 3 100.5 3 BIP
May 16 @ TB · Nick Martinez 3 91.4 3 BIP
May 15 @ TB · Ian Seymour 4 100.0 HR 4 BIP
May 13 @ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 4 98.7 4 BIP
May 12 @ MIN · Bailey Ober 3 101.6 3 BIP
May 10 vs WSH · Cade Cavalli 1 100.3 1 BIP
May 9 vs WSH · Zack Littell 2 100.3 HR 2 BIP
May 8 vs WSH · Foster Griffin 0
May 7 vs BAL · Cade Povich 2 98.7 2 BIP
May 6 vs BAL · Brandon Young 4 96.9 4 BIP
May 5 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 2 73.1 2 BIP
May 4 vs PHI · Aaron Nola 2 105.8 2 BIP
May 3 vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo 0
May 2 vs PHI · Andrew Painter 3 94.2 3 BIP
May 1 vs PHI · Zack Wheeler 2 102.1 2 BIP
Apr 29 @ LAD · Tyler Glasnow 1 89.0 1 BIP
Apr 28 @ LAD · Shohei Ohtani 1 33.6 1 BIP
Apr 27 @ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2 103.8 2 BIP
Apr 26 @ SF · Landen Roupp 3 83.3 3 BIP
Apr 25 @ SF · Robbie Ray 2 101.3 2 BIP
Apr 24 @ SF · Adrian Houser 5 107.4 5 BIP
Apr 22 vs STL · Kyle Leahy 4 105.6 4 BIP
Apr 21 vs STL · Dustin May 4 110.9 HR 4 BIP
Apr 20 vs STL · Michael McGreevy 2 77.6 2 BIP
Apr 19 vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 1 70.8 1 BIP
Apr 18 vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff 4 98.3 4 BIP
Apr 15 @ ATL · Bryce Elder 2 78.0 2 BIP
Apr 12 @ DET · Tarik Skubal 3 92.7 3 BIP
Apr 10 @ DET · Keider Montero 2 69.7 2 BIP
Mar 29 vs COL · Jose Quintana 1 77.9 1 BIP
Ballpark Nationals Park · open-air
Park Factor 1.209 Wind 8 mph from SW Temp 82°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
12:15p 8 82° +15
1:15p 9 85° +16
2:15p 9 88° +17
3:15p 8 89° +16
4:15p 8 90° +16
+16
Strong green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
8 mph 0% 0% 0% 29% 71% OPPO PULL Nationals Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SW)

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

Score Breakdown Base 39 → 39
ISO (Power)
+12.7
Park Factor
+11.6
Barrel Matchup
+7.5
season hr rate
+2.1
Pitcher FIP
+1.7
HR/FB Matchup
+1.5
recent hr density 14d
+1.5
Exit Velocity
+0.5
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Jakob Marsee

Will Jakob Marsee hit a home run today?

Jakob Marsee is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #132 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Andrew Alvarez at Nationals Park. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.

How often does Jakob Marsee hit home runs?

Across 106 scored games this season, Jakob Marsee has 8 home runs — one every 13.2 games, or about 8% of his scored games.

Has Jakob Marsee homered off Andrew Alvarez before?

Not yet — Jakob Marsee has faced Andrew Alvarez 2 times without a home run.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.164 · build 668

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