20
HRs allowed
12.2%
HR rate (pool)
18.3%
Overall HR/FB
4.73
FIP
4.41
xFIP
+0.32
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
80
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 80th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
22.6%
Hard-Hit% allowed
77.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.3 EV · 405 ft
max EV allowed 114.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Jake Irvin.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
31.9%
84.7
29.6°
6
+1.2
Curveball Breaking
22.7%
80.7
12.5°
3
-0.8
Sinker Hard
18.9%
84.3
14.8°
8
+1.6
Cutter Hard
10.0%
83.5
19.5°
1
-0.1
Sweeper Breaking
8.7%
78.1
20.8°
1
+1.7
Changeup Offspeed
7.8%
79.3
6.4°
1
+0.5
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups164
HRs allowed (pool)20
Pool HR rate12.2%
Pool HR/game day1.05
Top-15 matchups16
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB18.3% 80
HR/9—
FIP4.73 75
xFIP4.41
FIP − xFIP+0.32 67
Barrel% allowed22.6%
Hard-Hit% allowed77.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-10-17
Fastball
Hard · 31.9% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.7 mph
Avg launch angle29.6°
HRs allowed6
Pitches619
Curveball
Breaking · 22.7% usage
-0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.7 mph
Avg launch angle12.5°
HRs allowed3
Pitches440
Sinker
Hard · 18.9% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.3 mph
Avg launch angle14.8°
HRs allowed8
Pitches366
Cutter
Hard · 10.0% usage
-0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle19.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches194
Sweeper
Breaking · 8.7% usage
+1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.1 mph
Avg launch angle20.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches169
Changeup
Offspeed · 7.8% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.3 mph
Avg launch angle6.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches151
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Jake Irvin.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
20 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.3 EV · 405 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-09-20
8
1
111.1
2026-09-07
8
0
112.1
2026-09-01
8
2
109.3
2026-08-27
8
0
104.6
2026-08-22
9
2
109.6
2026-08-16
9
1
105.1
2026-08-11
9
3
111.5
2026-08-05
8
1
105.5
2026-07-30
7
1
106.0
2026-05-23
9
0
109.4
2026-05-18
9
2
111.2
2026-05-13
9
1
110.7
2026-05-07
9
1
107.6
2026-05-01
9
0
108.8
2026-04-25
9
0
101.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Jake Irvin isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Jake Irvin isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
70
10
14%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
16
1
6%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 11. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Jake Irvin
How many home runs has Jake Irvin allowed this season?
Jake Irvin has allowed 20 home runs across 19 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Jake Irvin?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Jake Irvin include Andy Pages (3), Ian Happ (3), Alex Bregman (2) and 51 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.