2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Jake Irvin

Jake Irvin

RHP WSH
90 matchups scored · 10 game days
9
HRs allowed
10.0%
HR rate (pool)
17.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.49
FIP
4.32
xFIP
+0.18
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 82
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
82
no model flags today
Vulnerability 82th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
76.7%
76.7%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 105.9 EV · 408 ft max EV allowed 114.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-03-29 · 2 HR 2026-04-04 · 1 HR 2026-04-10 · 1 HR 2026-04-20 · 1 HR 2026-05-07 · 1 HR 2026-05-13 · 1 HR 2026-05-18 · 2 HR
7D · 2 HR 15D · 3 HR 30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Jake Irvin.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 27.5% 83.2 28.7° 0 -0.2
Curveball Breaking 25.6% 80.7 6.5° 0 -2.0
Sinker Hard 24.0% 85.2 17.4° 5 +0.7
Cutter Hard 10.6% 84.5 14.2° 1 +2.7
Sweeper Breaking 7.8% 76.5 24.8° 1 +3.5
Changeup Offspeed 4.4% 74.0 5.9° 0 -0.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups90
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate10.0%
Pool HR/game day0.9
Top-15 matchups7
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB17.2% 82
HR/9
FIP4.49 66
xFIP4.32
FIP − xFIP+0.18 59
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed76.7%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 27.5% usage
-0.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.2 mph
Avg launch angle28.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches261
Curveball
Breaking · 25.6% usage
-2.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.7 mph
Avg launch angle6.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches243
Sinker
Hard · 24.0% usage
+0.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle17.4°
HRs allowed5
Pitches228
Cutter
Hard · 10.6% usage
+2.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.5 mph
Avg launch angle14.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches101
Sweeper
Breaking · 7.8% usage
+3.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.5 mph
Avg launch angle24.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches74
Changeup
Offspeed · 4.4% usage
-0.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against74.0 mph
Avg launch angle5.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches42
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Jake Irvin.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.9 EV · 408 ft 4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-05-18 Brett Baty #156 40 Nationals Park 111.2 23.0° 451.0
2026-05-18 Bo Bichette #233 21 Nationals Park 105.3 24.0° 409.0
2026-05-13 Tyler Stephenson #121 32 Great American Ball Park 105.5 28.0° 406.0
2026-05-07 Ryan Jeffers #92 30 Nationals Park 107.6 27.0° 432.0
2026-04-20 Matt Olson #4 77 Nationals Park 108.6 26.0° 419.0
2026-04-10 Jake Bauers #90 49 American Family Field 112.4 34.0° 428.0
2026-04-04 Andy Pages #52 41 Nationals Park 100.3 35.0° 387.0
2026-03-29 Ian Happ #48 45 Wrigley Field 99.8 29.0° 361.0
2026-03-29 Alex Bregman #74 42 Wrigley Field 102.7 31.0° 377.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 10 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-23 Truist Park 9 0 109.4
2026-05-18 Nationals Park 9 2 111.2
2026-05-13 Great American Ball Park 9 1 110.7
2026-05-07 Nationals Park 9 1 107.6
2026-05-01 Nationals Park 9 0 108.8
2026-04-25 Rate Field 9 0 101.1
2026-04-20 Nationals Park 9 1 114.9
2026-04-10 American Family Field 9 1 112.4
2026-04-04 Nationals Park 9 1 107.7
2026-03-29 Wrigley Field 9 2 107.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Jake Irvin isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Jake Irvin's full pitcher profile is waiting

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90 more waiting in the on-deck circle
THR 3.3.93 · build 598

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