⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHC RHB
Seiya Suzuki

Seiya Suzuki

RHB
CHC · 38 appearances tracked
3
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
7.9%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
23.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.8
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.212
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#3
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 2 games · 3 HRs in 38 games
Due (1×)
9.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
18
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
2
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
38
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
16
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
2
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
67%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#83.2
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
2 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-23 #31 Cristopher Sánchez Wrigley Field R/L ⚠️ 103.6 mph 393.0 ft
2026-04-25 #50 Roki Sasaki Dodger Stadium R/R ⚠️ 103.8 mph 404.0 ft
All Appearances
38 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-30 #122 Kyle Leahy R/R * 11.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #148 Andre Pallante R/R * 11.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-28 #84 Paul Skenes R/R * 10.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 #155 Bubba Chandler R/R * 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 #218 Braxton Ashcraft R/R * 9.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 #169 Peter Lambert R/R * 14.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-23 #191 Kai-Wei Teng R/R * 10.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #123 Spencer Arrighetti R/R * 15.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-20 #103 Kyle Harrison R/L * 16.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-19 #84 Jacob Misiorowski R/R * 17.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 #43 Brandon Sproat R/R * 30.1% 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-17 #49 Erick Fedde R/R * 39.1% 🟢 A 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-16 #83 Davis Martin R/R * 15.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-15 #85 Sean Burke R/R * 25.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-14 #41 Chris Sale R/L * 24.8% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 #3 Andrew Abbott R/L * 35.0% 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 #131 Matt Waldron R/R * 34.6% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-28 #125 Walker Buehler R/R * 35.5% 🟢 A 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-27 #80 Randy Vásquez R/R * 26.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-26 #55 Justin Wrobleski R/L * 26.7% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-25 #50 Roki Sasaki R/R 35.4% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-24 #66 Emmet Sheehan R/R 35.5% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-23 #31 Cristopher Sánchez R/L 25.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-19 #198 Tobias Myers R/R 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-17 #261 Kodai Senga R/R 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-15 #13 Jesús Luzardo R/L 24.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 #74 Braxton Ashcraft R/R 12.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-10 #56 Carmen Mlodzinski · 17.1% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-08 #37 Joe Boyle · 17.3% ⚪ D · — ⚠️ ·
2026-04-07 #28 Drew Rasmussen · 19.2% ⚪ D · — ⚠️ ·
2026-04-06 #15 Shane McClanahan · 23.6% 🔵 C+ · — ⚠️ ·
2026-04-05 #78 Parker Messick · 13.3% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-05 #26 Slade Cecconi · 16.2% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-04 #30 Slade Cecconi · 16.2% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-01 #50 Yusei Kikuchi · 14.2% ⚪ D · — ⚠️ ·
2026-03-31 #40 José Soriano · 16.2% ⚪ D · — ⚠️ ·
2026-03-30 #8 Ryan Johnson · 19.2% ⚪ D · — ⚠️ ·
2026-03-26 #7 Cade Cavalli · 18.0% ⚪ D · — ·

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