9
HRs allowed
11.7%
HR rate (pool)
23.2%
Overall HR/FB
6.28
FIP
4.68
xFIP
+1.59
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
93
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 93th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 102.3 EV · 382 ft
max EV allowed 115.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 5 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Miles Mikolas.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
25.9%
84.8
33.6°
3
-0.2
Sinker Hard
24.5%
85.7
17.4°
8
+0.3
Slider Breaking
22.0%
81.6
10.6°
3
-1.2
Curveball Breaking
14.3%
81.2
3.4°
0
+1.1
Changeup Offspeed
7.7%
81.2
7.3°
3
+3.9
Sweeper Breaking
5.6%
81.6
21.2°
3
+7.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups77
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate11.7%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups7
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB23.2% 93
HR/9—
FIP6.28 95
xFIP4.68
FIP − xFIP+1.59 96
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 25.9% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.8 mph
Avg launch angle33.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches381
Sinker
Hard · 24.5% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.7 mph
Avg launch angle17.4°
HRs allowed8
Pitches361
Slider
Breaking · 22.0% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle10.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches324
Curveball
Breaking · 14.3% usage
+1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle3.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches211
Changeup
Offspeed · 7.7% usage
+3.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle7.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches113
Sweeper
Breaking · 5.6% usage
+7.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle21.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Miles Mikolas.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.3 EV · 382 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-06
8
3
108.8
2026-06-29
8
2
109.7
2026-06-08
7
0
112.1
2026-05-22
9
0
105.4
2026-05-12
9
0
115.9
2026-05-06
9
1
110.6
2026-04-30
9
1
110.8
2026-04-08
9
0
108.6
2026-03-28
9
2
111.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Miles Mikolas isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.