2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Miles Mikolas

Miles Mikolas

RHP WSH
77 matchups scored · 9 game days
9
HRs allowed
11.7%
HR rate (pool)
23.2%
Overall HR/FB
6.28
FIP
4.68
xFIP
+1.59
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 93
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
93
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 93th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.7%
75.7%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 102.3 EV · 382 ft max EV allowed 115.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-03-28 · 2 HR 2026-04-30 · 1 HR 2026-05-06 · 1 HR 2026-06-29 · 2 HR 2026-07-06 · 3 HR
7D · 3 HR ↑ 15D · 5 HR ↑ 30D · 5 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Miles Mikolas.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 25.9% 84.8 33.6° 3 -0.2
Sinker Hard 24.5% 85.7 17.4° 8 +0.3
Slider Breaking 22.0% 81.6 10.6° 3 -1.2
Curveball Breaking 14.3% 81.2 3.4° 0 +1.1
Changeup Offspeed 7.7% 81.2 7.3° 3 +3.9
Sweeper Breaking 5.6% 81.6 21.2° 3 +7.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups77
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate11.7%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups7
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB23.2% 93
HR/9
FIP6.28 95
xFIP4.68
FIP − xFIP+1.59 96
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.7%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 25.9% usage
-0.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.8 mph
Avg launch angle33.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches381
Sinker
Hard · 24.5% usage
+0.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.7 mph
Avg launch angle17.4°
HRs allowed8
Pitches361
Slider
Breaking · 22.0% usage
-1.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle10.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches324
Curveball
Breaking · 14.3% usage
+1.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle3.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches211
Changeup
Offspeed · 7.7% usage
+3.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle7.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches113
Sweeper
Breaking · 5.6% usage
+7.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle21.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Miles Mikolas.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.3 EV · 382 ft 5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-06 Yainer Diaz #68 41 Nationals Park 102.9 26.0° 389
2026-07-06 Brice Matthews #69 41 Nationals Park 100.8 23.0° 363
2026-07-06 Jose Altuve #76 40 Nationals Park 94.5 30.0° 372
2026-06-29 Willson Contreras #38 57 Fenway Park 104.5 32.0° 421
2026-06-29 Caleb Durbin #134 41 Fenway Park 96.7 44.0° 338
2026-05-06 Matt Wallner #189 23 Nationals Park 108.9 22.0° 420.0
2026-04-30 MJ Melendez #37 48 Citi Field 97.0 29.0° 359.0
2026-03-28 Ian Happ #68 45 Wrigley Field 111.2 22.0° 385.0
2026-03-28 Miguel Amaya #78 46 Wrigley Field 104.6 32.0° 390.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-06 Nationals Park 8 3 108.8
2026-06-29 Fenway Park 8 2 109.7
2026-06-08 Oracle Park 7 0 112.1
2026-05-22 Truist Park 9 0 105.4
2026-05-12 Great American Ball Park 9 0 115.9
2026-05-06 Nationals Park 9 1 110.6
2026-04-30 Citi Field 9 1 110.8
2026-04-08 Nationals Park 9 0 108.6
2026-03-28 Wrigley Field 9 2 111.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Miles Mikolas isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Miles Mikolas's full pitcher profile is waiting

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THR 3.3.92 · build 597

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