MLB Home Run Predictions — June 29, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-29: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 29, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
26
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
48.7 vs 46.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #5 | Hunter Goodman | Sandy Alcantara | 71 | B AboveAvg |
| #19 | Bryce Harper | Braxton Ashcraft | 63 | C+ Value |
| #31 | Elly De La Cruz | Robert Gasser | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #33 | Shohei Ohtani | Gage Jump | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #38 | Willson Contreras | Miles Mikolas | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #39 | Dominic Canzone | Ryan Johnson | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #43 | Brice Turang | Nick Lodolo | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #47 | Max Muncy | Gage Jump | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #56 | James Wood | Ranger Suarez | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #61 | Brandon Marsh | Braxton Ashcraft | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #63 | Ketel Marte | Tyler Mahle | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #77 | Zach Neto | George Kirby | 49 | D Below |
| #81 | Cam Smith | Zebby Matthews | 49 | D Below |
| #95 | Otto Lopez | Sean Sullivan | 48 | D Below |
| #96 | Taylor Trammell | Zebby Matthews | 47 | D Below |
| #102 | Andy Pages | Gage Jump | 46 | D Below |
| #115 | Royce Lewis | Peter Lambert | 44 | D Below |
| #123 | Francisco Lindor | Trey Yesavage | 43 | D Below |
| #128 | Heliot Ramos | Eduardo Rodriguez | 42 | D Below |
| #131 | Josh Bell | Peter Lambert | 42 | D Below |
| #134 | Caleb Durbin | Miles Mikolas | 41 | D Below |
| #140 | Victor Caratini | Peter Lambert | 40 | D Below |
| #155 | Nolan Arenado | Tyler Mahle | 38 | D Below |
| #165 | Trea Turner | Braxton Ashcraft | 37 | D Below |
| #177 | Cole Young | Ryan Johnson | 35 | D Below |
| #186 | Gabriel Arias | Tyler Alexander | 33 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
James Wood, Brandon Marsh, Ketel Marte, Zach Neto, Cam Smith, Otto Lopez, Taylor Trammell, Andy Pages, Royce Lewis, Francisco Lindor, Heliot Ramos, Josh Bell, Caleb Durbin, Victor Caratini, Nolan Arenado, Trea Turner, Cole Young, Gabriel Arias
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.