9
HRs allowed
7.6%
HR rate (pool)
5.9%
Overall HR/FB
3.34
FIP
4.59
xFIP
-1.24
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
6
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 6th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.3 EV · 391 ft
max EV allowed 113.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Justin Wrobleski.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
49.7%
83.1
29.9°
3
-2.6
Slider Breaking
30.4%
87.4
7.8°
3
-0.2
Sinker Hard
7.0%
81.1
9.9°
1
-2.0
Curveball Breaking
5.4%
80.4
2.7°
0
-0.3
Changeup Offspeed
4.9%
82.3
9.0°
0
-1.6
Sweeper Breaking
1.8%
87.6
7.1°
0
+2.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups119
HRs allowed (pool)9
Pool HR rate7.6%
Pool HR/game day0.64
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB5.9% 6
HR/9—
FIP3.34 25
xFIP4.59
FIP − xFIP-1.24 3
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 49.7% usage
-2.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.1 mph
Avg launch angle29.9°
HRs allowed3
Pitches735
Slider
Breaking · 30.4% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.4 mph
Avg launch angle7.8°
HRs allowed3
Pitches449
Sinker
Hard · 7.0% usage
-2.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle9.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches103
Curveball
Breaking · 5.4% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.4 mph
Avg launch angle2.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches80
Changeup
Offspeed · 4.9% usage
-1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle9.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches73
Sweeper
Breaking · 1.8% usage
+2.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.6 mph
Avg launch angle7.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches27
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Justin Wrobleski.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
9 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.3 EV · 391 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 14 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-07
9
0
99.3
2026-06-30
5
0
98.3
2026-06-23
8
2
105.1
2026-06-16
9
0
106.0
2026-06-11
7
1
103.7
2026-06-04
9
2
113.0
2026-05-29
9
1
104.8
2026-05-22
9
1
107.2
2026-05-16
9
0
109.4
2026-05-10
9
2
108.6
2026-05-03
9
0
109.4
2026-04-26
9
0
107.1
2026-04-20
9
0
109.4
2026-04-06
9
0
100.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Justin Wrobleski isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.