MLB Home Run Predictions — June 11, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-11: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 11, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
21
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
50.2 vs 45.5
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #5 | Dominic Canzone | Kyle Bradish | 79 | B AboveAvg |
| #7 | Luke Raley | Kyle Bradish | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #17 | Juan Soto | Hunter Dobbins | 64 | C+ Value |
| #24 | Jared Young | Hunter Dobbins | 61 | C+ Value |
| #25 | Seiya Suzuki | Ryan Feltner | 61 | C+ Value |
| #26 | Pete Alonso | Bryan Woo | 60 | C+ Value |
| #27 | Colton Cowser | Bryan Woo | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #30 | Riley Greene | Zebby Matthews | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #38 | Shohei Ohtani | Mitch Keller | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #39 | Corey Seager | Michael Wacha | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #52 | Spencer Torkelson | Zebby Matthews | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #55 | Brandon Lowe | Justin Wrobleski | 49 | D Below |
| #60 | Alec Burleson | Christian Scott | 49 | D Below |
| #71 | Brett Sullivan | Edward Cabrera | 44 | D Below |
| #79 | Alex Bregman | Ryan Feltner | 41 | D Below |
| #84 | Gleyber Torres | Zebby Matthews | 38 | D Below |
| #87 | Cole Young | Kyle Bradish | 37 | D Below |
| #89 | Bo Bichette | Hunter Dobbins | 37 | D Below |
| #93 | Carson Kelly | Ryan Feltner | 34 | D Below |
| #105 | Zach McKinstry | Zebby Matthews | 31 | D Below |
| #117 | Colt Keith | Zebby Matthews | 25 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Spencer Torkelson, Brandon Lowe, Alec Burleson, Brett Sullivan, Alex Bregman, Gleyber Torres, Cole Young, Bo Bichette, Carson Kelly, Zach McKinstry, Colt Keith
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.