MLB Home Run Predictions — June 10, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-10: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 10, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
32
HRs by scored batters
2/5
Top-5 picks that homered
4/15
Top-15 picks that homered
52.2 vs 43.2
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | Kyle Schwarber | Max Scherzer | 86 | A Excellent |
| #3 | Ian Happ | Michael Lorenzen | 85 | A Excellent |
| #9 | Bryce Harper | Max Scherzer | 76 | B AboveAvg |
| #14 | Byron Buxton | Framber Valdez | 72 | B AboveAvg |
| #17 | JJ Bleday | Michael King | 69 | C+ Value |
| #20 | James Wood | Robbie Ray | 66 | C+ Value |
| #24 | Jordan Walker | Austin Warren | 64 | C+ Value |
| #31 | Shohei Ohtani | Jared Jones | 62 | C+ Value |
| #34 | Mike Trout | Peter Lambert | 62 | C+ Value |
| #49 | Pete Alonso | George Kirby | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #55 | Curtis Mead | Robbie Ray | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #63 | Alec Bohm | Max Scherzer | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #71 | Alec Burleson | Austin Warren | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #79 | Spencer Steer | Michael King | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #80 | Owen Caissie | Ryne Nelson | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #81 | Bryce Eldridge | Foster Griffin | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #83 | Carlos Cortes | Brandon Sproat | 49 | D Below |
| #85 | Kyle Stowers | Ryne Nelson | 49 | D Below |
| #102 | Cedric Mullins | Jake Bennett | 47 | D Below |
| #103 | TJ Rumfield | Shota Imanaga | 46 | D Below |
| #104 | Cam Smith | Reid Detmers | 46 | D Below |
| #106 | Jackson Holliday | George Kirby | 45 | D Below |
| #111 | Rafael Devers | Foster Griffin | 44 | D Below |
| #119 | Angel Martínez | Carlos Rodón | 43 | D Below |
| #124 | Spencer Horwitz | Shohei Ohtani | 43 | D Below |
| #141 | Ceddanne Rafaela | Drew Rasmussen | 39 | D Below |
| #146 | Logan O'Hoppe | Peter Lambert | 39 | D Below |
| #147 | Eugenio Suárez | Michael King | 39 | D Below |
| #156 | Matt Chapman | Foster Griffin | 37 | D Below |
| #164 | Lawrence Butler | Brandon Sproat | 34 | D Below |
| #185 | Caleb Durbin | Drew Rasmussen | 30 | D Below |
| #196 | Royce Lewis | Framber Valdez | 27 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Curtis Mead, Alec Bohm, Alec Burleson, Spencer Steer, Owen Caissie, Bryce Eldridge, Carlos Cortes, Kyle Stowers, Cedric Mullins, TJ Rumfield, Cam Smith, Jackson Holliday, Rafael Devers, Angel Martínez, Spencer Horwitz, Ceddanne Rafaela, Logan O'Hoppe, Eugenio Suárez, Matt Chapman, Lawrence Butler, Caleb Durbin, Royce Lewis
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.