MLB Home Run Predictions — June 12, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-12: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 12, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
35
HRs by scored batters
3/5
Top-5 picks that homered
7/15
Top-15 picks that homered
54.1 vs 43.6
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Nick Kurtz | COL Bullpen Proxy | 92 | A+ Premium |
| #3 | Shea Langeliers | COL Bullpen Proxy | 83 | A Excellent |
| #4 | Dominic Canzone | Zack Littell | 80 | A Excellent |
| #7 | Byron Buxton | Kyle Leahy | 78 | B AboveAvg |
| #9 | Jake Bauers | Andrew Painter | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #12 | Colt Emerson | Zack Littell | 73 | B AboveAvg |
| #14 | Matt Olson | Nolan McLean | 72 | B AboveAvg |
| #29 | Kody Clemens | Kyle Leahy | 64 | C+ Value |
| #32 | Juan Soto | Spencer Strider | 63 | C+ Value |
| #33 | Willson Contreras | Jack Leiter | 63 | C+ Value |
| #35 | Kazuma Okamoto | Ryan Weathers | 62 | C+ Value |
| #36 | Yordan Álvarez | Luinder Avila | 62 | C+ Value |
| #38 | James Wood | Bryce Miller | 61 | C+ Value |
| #39 | Samuel Basallo | Griffin Canning | 61 | C+ Value |
| #49 | Alec Burleson | Joe Ryan | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #59 | Andrew Benintendi | Roki Sasaki | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #67 | Gunnar Henderson | Griffin Canning | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #69 | Brooks Lee | Kyle Leahy | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #73 | Brandon Lowe | Sandy Alcantara | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #74 | Spencer Torkelson | Tanner Bibee | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #76 | Christian Walker | Luinder Avila | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #92 | Wilyer Abreu | Jack Leiter | 49 | D Below |
| #113 | George Springer | Ryan Weathers | 44 | D Below |
| #115 | Royce Lewis | Kyle Leahy | 44 | D Below |
| #123 | Cody Bellinger | Trey Yesavage | 43 | D Below |
| #138 | Josh Naylor | Zack Littell | 40 | D Below |
| #140 | Ceddanne Rafaela | Jack Leiter | 40 | D Below |
| #159 | James Outman | Tanner Bibee | 38 | D Below |
| #161 | Endy Rodríguez | Sandy Alcantara | 38 | D Below |
| #167 | Bo Bichette | Spencer Strider | 37 | D Below |
| #168 | Dylan Crews | Bryce Miller | 36 | D Below |
| #182 | Liam Hicks | Braxton Ashcraft | 32 | D Below |
| #191 | Noelvi Marte | Eduardo Rodriguez | 31 | D Below |
| #199 | Michael Busch | Landen Roupp | 29 | D Below |
| #214 | Brice Matthews | Luinder Avila | 24 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Andrew Benintendi, Gunnar Henderson, Brooks Lee, Brandon Lowe, Spencer Torkelson, Christian Walker, Wilyer Abreu, George Springer, Royce Lewis, Cody Bellinger, Josh Naylor, Ceddanne Rafaela, James Outman, Endy Rodríguez, Bo Bichette, Dylan Crews, Liam Hicks, Noelvi Marte, Michael Busch, Brice Matthews
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.