Wilyer Abreu
LHB
BOS
· 129 appearances tracked
20
HRs
15.5%
HR Rate
13.5%
Avg HR/FB
90.0
Avg EV
0.183
ISO
#5
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.208
Avg EV89.9
Barrel%9.9%
HR/FB vs RHP16.5%
Avg HR Dist407
Match%14.8%
Season HR%
16.7%
14D Pace
15.4%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-29
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
53.9%
12
Breaking
25.0%
7
Offspeed
21.1%
3
All
100%
12.4%
22
20.6%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Will Warren · RHP · BOS
SMALL SAMPLE · 9 PA · since 2026
.333
AVG
1.000
SLG
0
HR
3-for-9 across 9 plate appearances since 2026. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Yankee Stadium +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Edge
Weather +5
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
9.9
vs
—
HR/FB
16.5
vs
20.0 ▼ risk
K%
20.6
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
20 this season · avg 413 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Mar 29
Rhett Lowder · Great American Ball Park
—
98.0
385.0
Apr 24
Brandon Young · Camden Yards
—
105.4
403.0
Jun 23
@ COL · Sean Sullivan
—
103.0
443
Jul 30
@ ATH · Luis Medina
—
102.6
422
Aug 2
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
—
109.1
431
Aug 15
@ PIT · Jared Jones
—
110.8
420
Aug 29
@ NYY · Carlos Rodón
—
108.5
387
HR by month
Jun
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
129 tracked · 20 HR · 35 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 29
@ NYY · Carlos Rodón
6
108.5
HR
6 BIP
Aug 28
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
101.9
3 BIP
Aug 26
@ MIA · Ryan Gusto
3
96.8
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
2
94.1
2 BIP
Aug 24
@ MIA · Sandy Alcantara
2
109.9
2 BIP
Aug 23
vs SF · SF Bullpen Proxy
3
102.7
3 BIP
Aug 22
vs SF · Blade Tidwell
1
80.8
1 BIP
Aug 21
vs SF · Logan Webb
4
108.8
4 BIP
Aug 19
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
3
97.7
3 BIP
Aug 18
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
4
98.0
4 BIP
Aug 17
vs AZ · Mitch Bratt
4
105.7
4 BIP
Aug 16
@ PIT · Lake Bachar
2
78.3
2 BIP
Aug 15
@ PIT · Jared Jones
4
110.8
HR
4 BIP
Aug 14
@ PIT · Bubba Chandler
4
105.0
4 BIP
Aug 13
@ TOR · Max Scherzer
3
101.3
3 BIP
Aug 12
@ TOR · José Soriano
4
98.6
4 BIP
Aug 11
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
1
96.0
HR
1 BIP
Aug 10
@ TOR · Jameson Taillon
3
82.9
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
102.8
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs ATH · Jack Perkins
2
102.3
2 BIP
Aug 6
vs CWS · Luis Castillo
4
105.3
4 BIP
Aug 5
vs CWS · Sean Burke
3
109.3
HR
3 BIP
Aug 4
vs CWS · Davis Martin
4
106.8
HR
4 BIP
Aug 2
@ LAD · Emmet Sheehan
4
109.1
HR
4 BIP
Aug 1
@ LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3
106.3
3 BIP
Jul 31
@ LAD · Edgardo Henriquez
2
88.8
2 BIP
Jul 30
@ ATH · Mason Barnett
2
102.6
HR
2 BIP
Jul 29
@ ATH · Jacob Lopez
3
89.5
3 BIP
Jul 28
@ ATH · Gage Jump
4
97.9
4 BIP
Jul 27
@ ATH · Jack Perkins
3
102.8
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs TOR · Kevin Gausman
2
101.8
2 BIP
Jul 25
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
2
90.2
2 BIP
Jul 24
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
2
84.3
2 BIP
Jul 22
vs BAL · Dean Kremer
6
104.5
6 BIP
Jul 21
vs BAL · Kyle Bradish
0
—
—
Jul 20
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
97.5
3 BIP
Jul 19
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
3
104.6
3 BIP
Jul 18
vs TB · Ian Seymour
3
108.5
HR
3 BIP
Jul 17
vs TB · Griffin Jax
6
106.6
HR
6 BIP
Jul 12
@ NYM · Zach Thornton
4
101.3
4 BIP
Jul 11
@ NYM · Freddy Peralta
2
103.5
2 BIP
Jul 10
@ NYM · Nolan McLean
3
111.0
HR
3 BIP
Jul 9
@ CWS · Anthony Kay
4
108.6
4 BIP
Jul 8
@ CWS · Davis Martin
2
100.3
2 BIP
Jul 7
@ CWS · Noah Schultz
2
90.3
2 BIP
Jul 5
@ LAA · Ryan Johnson
3
100.3
3 BIP
Jul 4
@ LAA · Sam Aldegheri
3
106.4
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ LAA · Reid Detmers
2
90.5
2 BIP
Jul 1
vs WSH · Brad Lord
2
90.2
2 BIP
Jun 30
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
1
68.8
1 BIP
Jun 29
vs WSH · Miles Mikolas
4
107.3
4 BIP
Jun 28
vs NYY · Carlos Rodón
2
97.4
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
2
90.5
2 BIP
Jun 26
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
105.8
3 BIP
Jun 25
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
94.4
2 BIP
Jun 24
@ COL · Kyle Freeland
3
91.1
3 BIP
Jun 23
@ COL · Sean Sullivan
4
105.6
HR
4 BIP
Jun 22
@ COL · Ryan Feltner
2
74.0
2 BIP
Jun 20
@ SEA · Emerson Hancock
3
106.3
HR
3 BIP
Jun 19
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
4
97.2
4 BIP
Jun 18
vs TOR · Trey Yesavage
3
97.6
3 BIP
Jun 17
vs TOR · Braydon Fisher
4
90.8
4 BIP
Jun 16
vs TOR · Dylan Cease
1
74.4
1 BIP
Jun 14
vs TEX · Nathan Eovaldi
4
99.2
4 BIP
Jun 13
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
3
97.8
3 BIP
Jun 12
vs TEX · Jack Leiter
5
106.1
HR
5 BIP
Jun 10
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
1
85.7
1 BIP
Jun 9
@ TB · Nick Martinez
4
101.7
4 BIP
Jun 8
@ TB · Ian Seymour
2
106.3
2 BIP
Jun 7
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
3
99.9
3 BIP
Jun 6
@ NYY · Will Warren
0
—
—
Jun 5
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
101.1
3 BIP
Jun 4
vs BAL · Trevor Rogers
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jun 3
vs BAL · Chris Bassitt
4
106.7
HR
4 BIP
Jun 2
vs BAL · Shane Baz
3
96.4
3 BIP
May 31
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
100.0
4 BIP
May 30
@ CLE · Parker Messick
3
101.7
3 BIP
May 29
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
94.7
3 BIP
May 28
vs ATL · Chris Sale
3
104.5
3 BIP
May 27
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
5
101.9
5 BIP
May 26
vs ATL · Spencer Strider
3
92.9
3 BIP
May 24
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
100.6
3 BIP
May 23
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
2
89.3
2 BIP
May 22
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
5
102.0
5 BIP
May 20
@ KC · Michael Wacha
2
101.1
2 BIP
May 19
@ KC · Bailey Falter
5
97.2
5 BIP
May 18
@ KC · Seth Lugo
3
97.8
3 BIP
May 17
@ ATL · Grant Holmes
4
111.3
4 BIP
May 16
@ ATL · Bryce Elder
3
90.4
3 BIP
May 15
@ ATL · Spencer Strider
3
99.9
3 BIP
May 14
vs PHI · Jesús Luzardo
4
93.1
4 BIP
May 13
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
4
103.5
4 BIP
May 12
vs PHI · Zack Wheeler
3
109.3
3 BIP
May 10
vs TB · Nick Martinez
3
78.7
3 BIP
May 9
vs TB · Nick Martinez
0
—
—
May 8
vs TB · Jesse Scholtens
2
106.9
HR
2 BIP
May 7
vs TB · Griffin Jax
4
98.8
4 BIP
May 6
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
2
99.2
2 BIP
May 5
@ DET · Framber Valdez
3
109.1
HR
3 BIP
May 4
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
2
88.5
2 BIP
May 3
vs HOU · Cody Bolton
0
—
—
May 2
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
96.7
3 BIP
May 1
vs HOU · Mike Burrows
4
94.1
4 BIP
Apr 29
@ TOR · Eric Lauer
3
82.5
3 BIP
Apr 27
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
4
107.4
4 BIP
Apr 26
@ BAL · Kyle Bradish
3
104.7
3 BIP
Apr 25
@ BAL · Trevor Rogers
6
98.6
6 BIP
Apr 24
@ BAL · Brandon Young
3
105.4
HR
3 BIP
Apr 23
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
96.1
2 BIP
Apr 22
vs NYY · Max Fried
4
103.0
4 BIP
Apr 21
vs NYY · Luis Gil
4
98.8
4 BIP
Apr 20
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
3
100.3
3 BIP
Apr 19
vs DET · Framber Valdez
3
99.9
3 BIP
Apr 18
vs DET · Tarik Skubal
3
105.9
3 BIP
Apr 17
vs DET · Casey Mize
2
94.3
2 BIP
Apr 12
@ STL · Andre Pallante
3
99.1
3 BIP
Apr 11
@ STL · Kyle Leahy
4
106.4
4 BIP
Apr 10
@ STL · Dustin May
4
107.4
4 BIP
Apr 8
vs MIL · Shane Drohan
3
88.6
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs MIL · Jacob Misiorowski
1
94.2
1 BIP
Apr 6
vs MIL · Brandon Woodruff
3
98.0
3 BIP
Apr 5
vs SD · Walker Buehler
4
106.6
4 BIP
Apr 4
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
2
103.9
2 BIP
Apr 1
@ HOU · Mike Burrows
3
103.5
HR
3 BIP
Mar 31
@ HOU · Hunter Brown
3
101.5
3 BIP
Mar 30
@ HOU · Lance McCullers Jr.
2
111.9
2 BIP
Mar 29
@ CIN · Rhett Lowder
4
107.8
HR
4 BIP
Mar 28
@ CIN · Brady Singer
5
106.0
HR
5 BIP
Mar 26
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
80.5
3 BIP
Ballpark
Yankee Stadium · open-air
Park Factor
1.060
Wind
11 mph from SW
Temp
78°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:35p
11 ↑
78°
+13
2:35p
12 ↑
80°
+14
3:35p
12 ↑
80°
+15
4:35p
12 ↑
80°
+15
5:35p
11 ↑
80°
+14
+14
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from WSW)
Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.
Score Breakdown
Base 57 → 57
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
Pitcher FIP
HR/FB Matchup
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Wilyer Abreu
Will Wilyer Abreu hit a home run today?
Wilyer Abreu is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #27 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Will Warren at Yankee Stadium. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Wilyer Abreu hit home runs?
Across 129 scored games this season, Wilyer Abreu has 20 home runs — one every 6.5 games, or about 16% of his scored games.
Has Wilyer Abreu homered off Will Warren before?
Not yet — Wilyer Abreu has faced Will Warren 9 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.