1
HRs allowed
11.1%
HR rate (pool)
13.9%
Overall HR/FB
4.43
FIP
4.84
xFIP
-0.41
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
62
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 62th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
62.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 98.6 EV · 361 ft
max EV allowed 108.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Luis Medina.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
30.0%
86.0
29.4°
2
+2.4
Sinker Hard
30.0%
86.7
6.6°
2
+0.7
Slider Breaking
15.2%
78.5
16.0°
1
-1.8
Changeup Offspeed
13.1%
81.1
1.7°
0
-2.5
Curveball Breaking
11.6%
83.1
15.2°
0
-0.3
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups9
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate11.1%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB13.9% 62
HR/9—
FIP4.43 64
xFIP4.84
FIP − xFIP-0.41 24
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed62.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 30.0% usage
+2.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.0 mph
Avg launch angle29.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches227
Sinker
Hard · 30.0% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.7 mph
Avg launch angle6.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches227
Slider
Breaking · 15.2% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.5 mph
Avg launch angle16.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches115
Changeup
Offspeed · 13.1% usage
-2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle1.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches99
Curveball
Breaking · 11.6% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.1 mph
Avg launch angle15.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches88
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Luis Medina.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 98.6 EV · 361 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 1 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-24
9
1
108.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Luis Medina isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.