17
HRs allowed
13.1%
HR rate (pool)
18.6%
Overall HR/FB
5.43
FIP
4.97
xFIP
+0.46
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
83
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 83th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
16.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.8%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.3 EV · 397 ft
max EV allowed 115.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Erick Fedde.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sweeper Breaking
36.9%
81.8
18.2°
7
-0.9
Sinker Hard
30.7%
85.9
16.7°
6
+0.5
Cutter Hard
18.8%
82.2
24.7°
7
+1.3
Changeup Offspeed
12.4%
85.2
7.0°
2
+2.5
Fastball Hard
1.2%
83.3
24.5°
0
+2.3
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups130
HRs allowed (pool)17
Pool HR rate13.1%
Pool HR/game day1.13
Top-15 matchups8
HRs to top-153
Overall HR/FB18.6% 83
HR/9—
FIP5.43 88
xFIP4.97
FIP − xFIP+0.46 74
Barrel% allowed16.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.8%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Sweeper
Breaking · 36.9% usage
-0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.8 mph
Avg launch angle18.2°
HRs allowed7
Pitches765
Sinker
Hard · 30.7% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.9 mph
Avg launch angle16.7°
HRs allowed6
Pitches636
Cutter
Hard · 18.8% usage
+1.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.2 mph
Avg launch angle24.7°
HRs allowed7
Pitches390
Changeup
Offspeed · 12.4% usage
+2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle7.0°
HRs allowed2
Pitches256
Fastball
Hard · 1.2% usage
+2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle24.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches24
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Erick Fedde.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
17 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.3 EV · 397 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-29
7
0
102.6
2026-07-31
8
1
109.5
2026-07-26
8
2
112.6
2026-07-20
9
2
105.9
2026-06-30
9
0
107.2
2026-06-24
8
0
102.0
2026-06-03
9
0
105.9
2026-05-29
9
1
109.1
2026-05-17
9
2
108.0
2026-05-12
9
2
114.5
2026-05-05
9
3
106.5
2026-04-29
9
1
109.0
2026-04-18
9
2
115.3
2026-04-11
9
1
113.1
2026-03-31
9
0
105.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Erick Fedde isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Erick Fedde isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
52
8
15%
9
3
33%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
9
1
11%
8
1
12%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 9. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Erick Fedde
How many home runs has Erick Fedde allowed this season?
Erick Fedde has allowed 17 home runs across 15 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Erick Fedde?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Erick Fedde include Mike Trout (2), Austin Riley (1), Bobby Witt Jr. (1) and 28 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.