0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
14.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.53
FIP
4.64
xFIP
#20
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
69
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 69th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
2 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
—
Hard-Hit% allowed
—
Fly-ball rate
—
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
FB 47.2%
OFF 30.3%
BRK 17.7%
Overall
Score
Prime targets · 1
Neutral · 3
Long shots · 4 — below the fade line
Read the columns: the fastball family (47.2% usage) carries his damage — FB is the leak.
2 of 8 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Changeup Offspeed
30.3%
79.2
11.4°
1
+2.3
Sinker Hard
20.6%
88.3
14.9°
1
-1.6
Fastball Hard
18.4%
83.4
32.2°
2
+2.3
Curveball Breaking
17.7%
89.3
17.6°
0
-1.6
Cutter Hard
8.2%
85.2
17.5°
0
+1.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day—
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB14.6% 69
HR/9—
FIP4.53 67
xFIP4.64
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed—
Hard-Hit% allowed—
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-05
Changeup
Offspeed · 30.3% usage
+2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.2 mph
Avg launch angle11.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches122
Sinker
Hard · 20.6% usage
-1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against88.3 mph
Avg launch angle14.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches83
Fastball
Hard · 18.4% usage
+2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.4 mph
Avg launch angle32.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches74
Curveball
Breaking · 17.7% usage
-1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against89.3 mph
Avg launch angle17.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches71
Cutter
Hard · 8.2% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle17.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches33
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Mason Englert.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Minute Maid Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
1.068
Wind
5 mph from SSW
Temp
93°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
3:30p
5
93°
+0
4:30p
5
93°
+0
5:30p
5
93°
+0
6:30p
5
93°
+0
7:30p
5
93°
+0
+0
Neutral alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 5 mph from SSW
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.