17
HRs allowed
14.5%
HR rate (pool)
21.2%
Overall HR/FB
6.26
FIP
5.09
xFIP
+1.17
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
88
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 88th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
23.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.4 EV · 402 ft
max EV allowed 112.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 6 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Ryan Johnson.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
36.5%
81.9
30.4°
5
-1.2
Splitter Offspeed
22.4%
80.2
9.1°
0
-0.4
Sinker Hard
21.1%
86.1
17.7°
7
+4.3
Sweeper Breaking
19.7%
80.7
22.0°
4
+2.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups117
HRs allowed (pool)17
Pool HR rate14.5%
Pool HR/game day1.21
Top-15 matchups15
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB21.2% 88
HR/9—
FIP6.26 95
xFIP5.09
FIP − xFIP+1.17 94
Barrel% allowed23.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-01
Cutter
Hard · 36.5% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle30.4°
HRs allowed5
Pitches477
Splitter
Offspeed · 22.4% usage
-0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.2 mph
Avg launch angle9.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches293
Sinker
Hard · 21.1% usage
+4.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.1 mph
Avg launch angle17.7°
HRs allowed7
Pitches276
Sweeper
Breaking · 19.7% usage
+2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.7 mph
Avg launch angle22.0°
HRs allowed4
Pitches257
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Ryan Johnson.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
17 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.4 EV · 402 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 14 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-29
8
0
104.0
2026-08-22
9
0
105.0
2026-08-16
9
2
105.3
2026-08-11
7
1
105.5
2026-08-06
9
1
104.1
2026-07-31
8
2
111.3
2026-07-25
9
2
112.5
2026-07-19
9
2
105.6
2026-07-11
8
1
107.7
2026-07-05
7
2
112.2
2026-06-29
8
2
108.4
2026-06-23
8
0
106.0
2026-04-05
9
1
111.3
2026-03-30
9
1
107.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Ryan Johnson isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Ryan Johnson isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
65
10
15%
9
2
22%
8
2
25%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
8
1
12%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 7. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Ryan Johnson
How many home runs has Ryan Johnson allowed this season?
Ryan Johnson has allowed 17 home runs across 14 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Ryan Johnson?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Ryan Johnson include Cole Young (2), Bobby Witt Jr. (1), Brice Turang (1) and 13 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.