Ryan Johnson
RHP
LAA
2
HRs Allowed
11.1%
HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
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HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
·
HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
11.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
18
Pool Matchups
2
HRs Allowed (Pool)
8
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
11.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 97.4mph | 102.8mph | 35.0° | 386ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 97.4mph | 102.8mph | 35.0° | 386ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 97.4mph | 102.8mph | 35.0° | 386ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.4
Avg Max EV
111.3
Max EV Allowed
12
Hard-Hit Proxy · 75.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
102.8
Avg HR EV
35.0°
Avg HR Launch
386
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Julio Rodriguez | 111.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jorge Polanco | 108.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Cole Young | 104.0mph | 104.0mph | 28° | 394ft | Yes |
| 2026-04-05 | Randy Arozarena | 100.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Dansby Swanson | 107.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Ian Happ | 103.2mph | 101.6mph | 42° | 378ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-30 | Carson Kelly | 101.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 101.4mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Cole Young | #111 | 32 | Angel Stadium | 104.0mph | 28.0° | 394.0ft |
| 2026-03-30 | Ian Happ | #25 | 42 | Wrigley Field | 101.6mph | 42.0° | 378.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 74 | 34.6% | +4.1 | 80.2 | 29.5° | 2 |
| Splitter | 54 | 25.2% | +2.2 | 83.1 | 9.3° | 0 |
| Sinker | 51 | 23.8% | +6.6 | 89.7 | 18.4° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 35 | 16.4% | +5.9 | 82.7 | 15.2° | 0 |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Ben Williamson | #221 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Cole Young | #111 | 32 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-04-05 | J.P. Crawford | #48 | 33 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Mitch Garver | #24 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Jorge Polanco | #11 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Randy Arozarena | #8 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Dominic Canzone | #6 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Julio Rodriguez | #5 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Cal Raleigh | #2 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Nico Hoerner | #177 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Matt Shaw | #49 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Kyle Tucker | #36 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Ian Happ | #25 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-30 | Carson Kelly | #23 | 41 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #18 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Dansby Swanson | #9 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Seiya Suzuki | #8 | 51 | 🟠 C | · — | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Michael Busch | #3 | 55 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |