MLB Home Run Predictions — July 19, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-07-19: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for July 19, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
31
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
51.0 vs 46.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #6 | Esmerlyn Valdez | Joey Cantillo | 71 | B AboveAvg |
| #18 | Hunter Goodman | Hunter Greene | 65 | C+ Value |
| #21 | CJ Abrams | Jacob Lopez | 63 | C+ Value |
| #22 | Sal Stewart | Ryan Feltner | 63 | C+ Value |
| #28 | Willson Contreras | Shane McClanahan | 61 | C+ Value |
| #29 | Nathaniel Lowe | Ryan Feltner | 61 | C+ Value |
| #35 | Drake Baldwin | Nathan Eovaldi | 60 | C+ Value |
| #45 | Wyatt Langford | Grant Holmes | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #50 | Colson Montgomery | Trey Yesavage | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #51 | Jac Caglianone | Germán Márquez | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #53 | Ty France | Noah Cameron | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #60 | Coby Mayo | Hunter Brown | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #74 | Dylan Crews | Jacob Lopez | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #75 | Riley Greene | Ryan Johnson | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #83 | Esteury Ruiz | Robert Gasser | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #94 | Bryce Eldridge | Logan Gilbert | 49 | D Below |
| #100 | Trent Grisham | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 49 | D Below |
| #102 | Austin Riley | Nathan Eovaldi | 49 | D Below |
| #105 | Tyler Stephenson | Ryan Feltner | 49 | D Below |
| #113 | Francisco Lindor | Alan Rangel | 48 | D Below |
| #121 | Trent Grisham | Will Klein | 47 | D Below |
| #127 | Jose Altuve | Brandon Young | 46 | D Below |
| #143 | Willi Castro | Hunter Greene | 45 | D Below |
| #144 | Alex Bregman | Zebby Matthews | 45 | D Below |
| #168 | Alec Bohm | Nolan McLean | 43 | D Below |
| #172 | Nolan Arenado | Andre Pallante | 42 | D Below |
| #177 | Kevin McGonigle | Ryan Johnson | 42 | D Below |
| #182 | Cole Young | Robbie Ray | 41 | D Below |
| #190 | Jackson Merrill | Noah Cameron | 41 | D Below |
| #191 | Tommy Edman | Cam Schlittler | 41 | D Below |
| #259 | Geraldo Perdomo | Andre Pallante | 29 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Jac Caglianone, Ty France, Coby Mayo, Dylan Crews, Riley Greene, Esteury Ruiz, Bryce Eldridge, Trent Grisham, Austin Riley, Tyler Stephenson, Francisco Lindor, Trent Grisham, Jose Altuve, Willi Castro, Alex Bregman, Alec Bohm, Nolan Arenado, Kevin McGonigle, Cole Young, Jackson Merrill, Tommy Edman, Geraldo Perdomo
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.