⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATL LHB
Drake Baldwin

Drake Baldwin

LHB
ATL · 48 appearances tracked
12
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
25.0%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
27.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
91.1
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.205
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#2
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 2 games · 12 HRs in 48 games
Due (1×)
2.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
5
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
2
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
48
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
38
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
9
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
75%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#29.0
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
9 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-03-27 #21 Cole Ragans Truist Park · 110.2 mph 370.0 ft
2026-03-29 #25 Seth Lugo Truist Park L/R 107.6 mph 396.0 ft
2026-04-06 #7 José Soriano Angel Stadium L/R ⚠️ 102.1 mph 397.0 ft
2026-04-21 #20 Foster Griffin Nationals Park L/L 🔥 105.5 mph 438.0 ft
2026-04-22 #17 Zack Littell Nationals Park L/R 🔥 101.7 mph 391.0 ft
2026-05-10 #20 Justin Wrobleski Dodger Stadium L/L 104.9 mph 390.0 ft
2026-05-13 #41 Shota Imanaga Truist Park L/L 🔥 99.0 mph 402.0 ft
2026-05-15 #18 Connelly Early Truist Park L/L 🔥 103.0 mph 407.0 ft
2026-05-16 #21 Payton Tolle Truist Park L/L 🔥 106.2 mph 421.0 ft
All Appearances
48 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-22 #2 Miles Mikolas L/R * 42.4% 🔥 A+ 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-05-21 #4 Sandy Alcantara L/R * 24.8% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-20 #11 Janson Junk L/R * 34.8% 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 #18 Max Meyer L/R * 23.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-17 #7 Brayan Bello L/R * 44.2% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-16 #21 Payton Tolle L/L * 37.8% 🟢 A 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-05-15 #18 Connelly Early L/L * 48.3% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-05-14 #14 Ben Brown L/R * 23.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-13 #41 Shota Imanaga L/L * 29.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-05-12 #56 Colin Rea L/R * 24.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-10 #20 Justin Wrobleski L/L * 16.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-09 #7 Blake Snell L/R * 21.5% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-08 #11 Emmet Sheehan L/R * 26.2% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-06 #53 Bryan Woo L/R * 24.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 #40 George Kirby L/R * 21.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-04 #86 Logan Gilbert L/R * 23.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-03 #13 Kyle Freeland L/L * 32.3% 🟢 A 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #16 Jose Quintana L/L 17.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-30 #60 Framber Valdez L/L 16.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-29 #61 Tarik Skubal L/L 15.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-28 #17 Casey Mize L/R * 14.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-26 #35 Aaron Nola L/R * 17.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-25 #20 Zack Wheeler L/R 20.7% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-24 #29 Andrew Painter L/R 18.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-23 #10 Cade Cavalli L/R 14.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-22 #17 Zack Littell L/R 23.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-04-21 #20 Foster Griffin L/L 15.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-04-20 #21 Jake Irvin L/R 16.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-19 #25 Andrew Painter L/R 15.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 #21 Cristopher Sánchez L/L 20.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 #7 Taijuan Walker L/R 26.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 #22 Chris Paddack L/R 19.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-13 #5 Eury Pérez L/R 25.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 #5 Tanner Bibee L/R 37.7% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 #17 Parker Messick L/L 24.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-10 #21 Slade Cecconi L/R 26.2% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 #13 Reid Detmers L/L 24.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-07 #13 Yusei Kikuchi L/L 24.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-06 #7 José Soriano L/R 27.5% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-05 #69 Brandon Pfaadt L/R 14.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-04 #76 Michael Soroka L/R 13.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 #12 Ryne Nelson L/R 11.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 #87 Luis Severino L/R 12.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 #57 Aaron Civale L/R 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-03-30 #43 Jacob Lopez L/L 15.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 #25 Seth Lugo L/R 17.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-03-28 #120 Michael Wacha · 11.4% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-27 #21 Cole Ragans · 15.1% ⚪ D · — 💥

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