2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 7 HRs · 3 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 4 HRs · 11 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 12 Coby Mayo 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 9 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 7 HRs · 3 Heriberto Hernández 5 HRs · 4 Cal Raleigh 5 HRs · 5 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 Rafael Devers 5 HRs · 8 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 5 HRs · 10 Jeremy Peña 4 HRs · 11 Jordan Walker 4 HRs · 12 Coby Mayo 4 HRs
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

RHP LAD
191 matchups scored · 23 game days
16
HRs allowed
8.4%
HR rate (pool)
15.4%
Overall HR/FB
3.44
FIP
3.27
xFIP
+0.17
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 69
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
69
no model flags today
Vulnerability 69th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
14.1%
14.1%
Hard-Hit% allowed
65.5%
65.5%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 104.4 EV · 392 ft max EV allowed 114.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-06-13 · 1 HR 2026-06-27 · 1 HR 2026-07-11 · 2 HR 2026-07-19 · 1 HR 2026-08-01 · 1 HR 2026-08-21 · 1 HR 2026-08-27 · 1 HR
7D · 2 HR ↑ 15D · 2 HR 30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Splitter Offspeed 26.7% 82.3 -7.5° 6 -0.5
Fastball Hard 26.6% 82.5 31.9° 6 -2.6
Cutter Hard 15.1% 78.6 16.7° 2 -0.9
Sinker Hard 12.8% 84.3 10.6° 1 -2.5
Curveball Breaking 12.6% 80.6 9.5° 1 -0.7
Slider Breaking 6.1% 82.3 12.3° 0 -2.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups191
HRs allowed (pool)16
Pool HR rate8.4%
Pool HR/game day0.7
Top-15 matchups13
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB15.4% 69
HR/9
FIP3.44 27
xFIP3.27
FIP − xFIP+0.17 58
Barrel% allowed14.1%
Hard-Hit% allowed65.5%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Splitter
Offspeed · 26.7% usage
-0.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle-7.5°
HRs allowed6
Pitches650
Fastball
Hard · 26.6% usage
-2.6 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle31.9°
HRs allowed6
Pitches648
Cutter
Hard · 15.1% usage
-0.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.6 mph
Avg launch angle16.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches367
Sinker
Hard · 12.8% usage
-2.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.3 mph
Avg launch angle10.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches311
Curveball
Breaking · 12.6% usage
-0.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.6 mph
Avg launch angle9.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches307
Slider
Breaking · 6.1% usage
-2.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle12.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches149
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
16 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.4 EV · 392 ft 3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-08-27 Drake Baldwin #24 50 Truist Park 106.2 27.0° 402
2026-08-21 Oneil Cruz #17 59 Dodger Stadium 112.8 32.0° 424
2026-08-01 Ceddanne Rafaela #83 50 Dodger Stadium 100.5 34.0° 402
2026-07-19 Trent Grisham #100 49 Yankee Stadium 108.4 26.0° 402
2026-07-11 Nolan Arenado #79 49 Dodger Stadium 98.9 28.0° 356
2026-07-11 James McCann #173 39 Dodger Stadium 101.5 28.0° 399
2026-06-27 Gavin Sheets #76 49 Petco Park 104.3 26.0° 414
2026-06-13 Tristan Peters #202 26 Rate Field 108.5 26.0° 388
2026-06-06 Zach Neto #93 48 Dodger Stadium 106.2 33.0° 410
2026-05-31 Bryson Stott #104 49 Dodger Stadium 100.6 29.0° 400
2026-05-18 Miguel Andujar #150 41 Petco Park 98.1 23.0° 376.0
2026-05-12 Harrison Bader #178 27 Dodger Stadium 99.4 23.0° 360.0
2026-04-27 Liam Hicks #29 56 Dodger Stadium 101.1 23.0° 348.0
2026-04-14 Francisco Lindor #39 50 Dodger Stadium 111.3 37.0° 402.0
2026-04-01 Gabriel Arias #27 41 Dodger Stadium 107.4 35.0° 407.0
2026-04-01 Jose Ramirez #29 47 Dodger Stadium 105.4 36.0° 376.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-27 Truist Park 9 1 107.2
2026-08-21 Dodger Stadium 7 1 112.8
2026-08-14 Dodger Stadium 7 0 105.6
2026-08-08 Chase Field 9 0 108.7
2026-08-01 Dodger Stadium 8 1 106.3
2026-07-25 Citi Field 7 0 107.4
2026-07-19 Yankee Stadium 8 1 108.6
2026-07-11 Dodger Stadium 9 2 101.5
2026-07-04 Dodger Stadium 6 0 102.2
2026-06-27 Petco Park 7 1 104.3
2026-06-20 Dodger Stadium 9 0 99.5
2026-06-13 Rate Field 8 1 110.3
2026-06-06 Dodger Stadium 7 1 106.2
2026-05-31 Dodger Stadium 9 1 102.4
2026-05-24 American Family Field 9 0 104.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Yoshinobu Yamamoto isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Yoshinobu Yamamoto isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Dodger Stadium 98 11 11%
Petco Park 16 2 12%
Truist Park 9 1 11%
Rate Field 8 1 12%
Yankee Stadium 8 1 12%
American Family Field 9 0 0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 11. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's full pitcher profile is waiting

Upgrade to see the Threat Matrix, vulnerability signals, arsenal damage, BvP history, HR log, and ballpark conditions.

No card to sign up. Yesterday's graded board and the daily top-5 preview are free.
191 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Common questions about Yoshinobu Yamamoto

How many home runs has Yoshinobu Yamamoto allowed this season?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed 16 home runs across 23 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off Yoshinobu Yamamoto?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Yoshinobu Yamamoto include Zach Neto (2), Ben Rice (1), Bryson Stott (1) and 26 more.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.166 · build 670

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.

Yesterday's board graded name-by-name — hits and misses — plus tonight's ranked board (scores and matchups; batter names are Pro), free in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.