12
HRs allowed
8.8%
HR rate (pool)
15.1%
Overall HR/FB
3.46
FIP
3.28
xFIP
+0.18
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
71
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 71th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
61.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.6 EV · 386 ft
max EV allowed 114.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Splitter Offspeed
27.0%
81.3
-10.3°
3
-1.3
Fastball Hard
26.6%
83.9
32.4°
5
-1.7
Curveball Breaking
13.6%
80.5
11.1°
1
-0.3
Cutter Hard
13.0%
81.9
15.1°
2
+0.0
Sinker Hard
12.8%
82.7
13.0°
1
-3.1
Slider Breaking
7.0%
82.2
10.7°
0
-2.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups136
HRs allowed (pool)12
Pool HR rate8.8%
Pool HR/game day0.75
Top-15 matchups8
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB15.1% 71
HR/9—
FIP3.46 29
xFIP3.28
FIP − xFIP+0.18 59
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed61.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Splitter
Offspeed · 27.0% usage
-1.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.3 mph
Avg launch angle-10.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches464
Fastball
Hard · 26.6% usage
-1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.9 mph
Avg launch angle32.4°
HRs allowed5
Pitches457
Curveball
Breaking · 13.6% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.5 mph
Avg launch angle11.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches233
Cutter
Hard · 13.0% usage
+0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle15.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches224
Sinker
Hard · 12.8% usage
-3.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.7 mph
Avg launch angle13.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches220
Slider
Breaking · 7.0% usage
-2.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.2 mph
Avg launch angle10.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches120
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
12 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.6 EV · 386 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-11
9
2
101.5
2026-07-04
6
0
102.2
2026-06-27
7
1
104.3
2026-06-20
9
0
99.5
2026-06-13
8
1
110.3
2026-06-06
7
1
106.2
2026-05-31
9
1
102.4
2026-05-24
9
0
104.4
2026-05-18
9
1
111.3
2026-05-12
9
1
106.6
2026-05-04
9
0
112.9
2026-04-27
9
1
114.2
2026-04-21
9
0
108.5
2026-04-14
9
1
111.3
2026-04-07
9
0
99.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Yoshinobu Yamamoto isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.