MLB Home Run Predictions — June 27, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-27: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 27, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
25
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
48.4 vs 42.4
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #6 | Hunter Goodman | Mike Paredes | 70 | B AboveAvg |
| #7 | Jackson Chourio | David Peterson | 68 | C+ Value |
| #8 | Junior Caminero | AZ Bullpen Proxy | 68 | C+ Value |
| #17 | Bryce Harper | Christian Scott | 64 | C+ Value |
| #26 | Ian Happ | Kyle Harrison | 62 | C+ Value |
| #38 | Kerry Carpenter | Kai-Wei Teng | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #43 | Brandon Lowe | Chase Burns | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #51 | Ketel Marte | Cole Sulser | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #62 | Corey Seager | Dylan Cease | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #65 | Yohendrick Piñango | Cal Quantrill | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #75 | Jonathan Aranda | AZ Bullpen Proxy | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #76 | Gavin Sheets | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 49 | D Below |
| #80 | Seiya Suzuki | Kyle Harrison | 49 | D Below |
| #91 | Sal Stewart | Jared Jones | 48 | D Below |
| #99 | Mookie Betts | Kyle Hart | 45 | D Below |
| #109 | Alejandro Kirk | Cal Quantrill | 44 | D Below |
| #127 | Kyle Karros | Mike Paredes | 42 | D Below |
| #132 | Rafael Devers | Bryce Elder | 40 | D Below |
| #139 | Cam Smith | Framber Valdez | 39 | D Below |
| #141 | Randy Arozarena | Slade Cecconi | 39 | D Below |
| #152 | Eugenio Suárez | Jared Jones | 38 | D Below |
| #163 | Max Schuemann | Jake Bennett | 37 | D Below |
| #186 | Hao-Yu Lee | Kai-Wei Teng | 32 | D Below |
| #194 | Kyle Tucker | Kyle Hart | 30 | D Below |
| #212 | Masataka Yoshida | Gerrit Cole | 26 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Ketel Marte, Corey Seager, Yohendrick Piñango, Jonathan Aranda, Gavin Sheets, Seiya Suzuki, Sal Stewart, Mookie Betts, Alejandro Kirk, Kyle Karros, Rafael Devers, Cam Smith, Randy Arozarena, Eugenio Suárez, Max Schuemann, Hao-Yu Lee, Kyle Tucker, Masataka Yoshida
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.