⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Max Schuemann
Max Schuemann
TEX RHB · vs Jacob Lopez · 4:05p
Max Schuemann

Max Schuemann

RHB
TEX · 1 appearances tracked
0
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
0.0%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
25.0%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.1
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.243
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#5
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
Today's Matchup NYY @ ATH · 4:05p
Jacob Lopez (LHP)
HR/FB 20.4% ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. Higher = more HR-prone. League avg is ~12%. HR/9 1.99 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. Higher = pitcher gives up more longballs. FIP 6.61 ?Fielding Independent Pitching — isolates pitcher skill from defense. Higher FIP = more HR-vulnerable.
#63 🟠 C
Sutter Health Park Park × 1.246 ?Park factor for this stadium. Values above 1.0 boost HR probability; below 1.0 suppress it. Based on multi-year park HR data.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.250
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
93th pctile
85.2
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
8th pctile
6.1%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
21th pctile
16.7%
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball. >18% elite, league avg ~12%.
76th pctile
·
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
0.0%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
0.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
25.8%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
96th pctile
2
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
1
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
1
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#5.0
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
1 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-07 #5 MacKenzie Gore R/L * 28.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·

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