2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs

Results · 2026-07-12

Showing the latest published results while today's slate is prepared.
Check back @ 6:15 AM ET for today's slate.
Today's slate page will appear automatically when the morning scan publishes. Until then, this page shows the latest completed slate/results.
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Results · 2026-07-12
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
📦 STACK AZ Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.55 HR/FB 13.9% → #1 Shohei Ohtani, #13 Max Muncy
📦 STACK Matthew Boyd FIP 4.09 HR/FB 25.0% → #5 Elly De La Cruz, #8 Sal Stewart, #9 Jj Bleday
📦 STACK Seth Lugo FIP 4.49 HR/FB 19.5% → #6 Pete Alonso, #11 Samuel Basallo
2025 full-season backtest
2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field
Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-12. Past performance ≠ guarantee.
92.9% top-15 slates, 2025
1.6x top-50 vs field
92.6% Live 2026 top-15
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP Weather Hit?
1 78 +5.2 AZ Bullpen Proxy
AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
4:10p 🟡 B
LHH vs ?HP
Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness.
Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.
22
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%16.5% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.0×
AZ Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.55 IP838.1
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+47
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp77.5°F Wind5.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
Shohei Ohtani — Home Run
OffMitch Bratt Exit Velo111.8 mph Angle33.0° Distance437 ft StadiumDodger Stadium
2
James Wood (L) 3
74 · Will Warren (RHP)
NYY @ WSH · Nationals Park
1:35p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
28
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV95.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.0×
NYY Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.1% HR/91.00 FIP3.76 IP860.3
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+38
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
hot air · light partial wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind5.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
James Wood — Home Run
OffWill Warren Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle26.0° Distance434 ft StadiumNationals Park
3
·Ben Rice (L) 3
72 · Cade Cavalli (RHP)
NYY @ WSH · Nationals Park
1:35p 🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
29
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.0×
WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB15.5% HR/91.41 FIP4.69 IP853.5
Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.
+38
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
hot air · light partial wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind5.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
4 69 · Emerson Hancock (RHP)
SEA @ TB · Tropicana Field
1:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness.
Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.
28
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.0×
SEA Bullpen · Stable
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB10.8% HR/90.94 FIP3.54 IP843.4
Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.
+0
Tropicana Field
Weather · Tropicana Field
neutral
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
5 67 · Matthew Boyd (LHP)
CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🔵 C+
SHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.4×
CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP832.5
Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.
+17
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
hot air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
6
·Pete Alonso (R) 2
67 · Seth Lugo (RHP)
KC @ BAL · Camden Yards
1:35p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness.
Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.
21
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.2×
KC Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB14.5% HR/91.33 FIP4.73 IP840.6
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
-51
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
hot air · light crosswind · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind7 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-51 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 7 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1
7 67 · MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
HOU @ TEX · Globe Life Field
2:35p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters.
Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.
31
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.5×
TEX Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.9% HR/91.23 FIP4.09 IP841.2
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+6
Globe Life Field
Weather · Globe Life Field
hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low.
Roofretractable Temp93.8°F Wind4 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 4 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +3
8 65 · Tarik Skubal (LHP)
PHI @ DET · Comerica Park
1:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters.
Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.
32
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.3×
DET Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.1% HR/91.03 FIP3.91 IP864.0
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
-41
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
hot air · light crosswind · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp85.4°F Wind6.0 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-41 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +2
9 64 · Matthew Boyd (LHP)
CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
19
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.7×
CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP832.5
Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.
+23
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
hot air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
10 64 · Andrew Abbott (LHP)
CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters.
Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.
21
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.3×
CIN Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+11
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
hot air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
11 64 · Seth Lugo (RHP)
KC @ BAL · Camden Yards
1:35p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
16
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.0×
KC Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB14.5% HR/91.33 FIP4.73 IP840.6
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
-58
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
hot air · light crosswind · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind7 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-58 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 7 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1
Samuel Basallo — Home Run
OffLucas Erceg Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle22.0° Distance404 ft StadiumCamden Yards
12
·Kody Clemens (L) 3
64 · José Soriano (RHP)
LAA @ MIN · Target Field
2:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
2.3×
LAA Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.4% HR/91.11 FIP4.40 IP860.8
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+1
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
hot air · light crosswind · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp88.1°F Wind6.0 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2
13
·Ketel Marte (S) 2
63 +6.2 Emmet Sheehan (RHP)
AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
4:10p 🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
17
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
3.7×
LAD Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.3% HR/91.07 FIP3.78 IP817.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+45
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp77.5°F Wind5.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
14
·Max Muncy (L)
66 +4.8 AZ Bullpen Proxy
AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
4:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs ?HP
Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness.
Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.
5
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
4.3×
AZ Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.55 IP838.1
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+47
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp77.5°F Wind5.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
15
·Mike Trout (R) 3
61 · Taj Bradley (RHP)
LAA @ MIN · Target Field
2:10p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness.
Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.
18
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.0×
MIN Bullpen · Stable
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.30 IP881.0
Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.
+13
Target Field
Weather · Target Field
hot air · light crosswind · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp88.1°F Wind6.0 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2
16
·Juan Soto (L) 3
61 · Payton Tolle (LHP)
BOS @ NYM · Citi Field
1:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters.
Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.
21
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.0×
BOS Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.12 FIP3.96 IP827.8
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+14
Citi Field
Weather · Citi Field
hot air · steady wind out · roof open
Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight.
Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind8.0 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3
17 61 +5.6 Emmet Sheehan (RHP)
AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
4:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
13
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
5.8×
LAD Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.3% HR/91.07 FIP3.78 IP817.9
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+47
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp77.5°F Wind5.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
18 60 · Robert Gasser (LHP)
MIL @ PIT · PNC Park
12:15p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
10
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%14.8% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.5×
MIL Bullpen · Stable
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB11.1% HR/90.96 FIP3.56 IP846.6
Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.
-19
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
hot air · light partial wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp86.3°F Wind2.0 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 2 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +2
19 60 +5.3 Germán Márquez (RHP)
TOR @ SD · Petco Park
4:10p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness.
Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.
22
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.0×
SD Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.5% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP844.3
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
-49
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp77.2°F Wind4 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-49 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 4 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +0
20
·Joc Pederson (L) 3
60 · Cristian Javier (RHP)
HOU @ TEX · Globe Life Field
2:35p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.0×
HOU Bullpen · Vulnerable
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB15.2% HR/91.44 FIP4.98 IP855.8
Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.
+6
Globe Life Field
Weather · Globe Life Field
hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low.
Roofretractable Temp93.8°F Wind4 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 4 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +3
21 59 · Joey Cantillo (LHP)
CLE @ MIA · loanDepot Park
1:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.7×
CLE Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.5% HR/91.19 FIP4.05 IP867.2
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+0
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
22 62 · ATL Bullpen Proxy
ATL @ STL · Busch Stadium
2:15p 🔵 C+
RHH vs ?HP
Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness.
Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.
22
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.0×
ATL Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.14 IP829.0
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+58
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
hot air · light wind in · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp86.8°F Wind1.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 1 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +2
23
·Seiya Suzuki (R) 3
58 · Andrew Abbott (LHP)
CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
15
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.8×
CIN Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+23
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
hot air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
24
·Ian Happ (S) 2
58 · Andrew Abbott (LHP)
CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🟠 C
SHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
17
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
3.2×
CIN Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+17
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
hot air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
25 57 · Noah Schultz (LHP)
ATH @ CWS · Rate Field
2:10p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
21
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.0×
CWS Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.3% HR/91.09 FIP4.30 IP832.8
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+0
Rate Field
Weather · Rate Field
Unknown stadium
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
Shea Langeliers — Home Run
OffNoah Schultz Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance411 ft StadiumRate Field
26 57 · Shane Baz (RHP)
KC @ BAL · Camden Yards
1:35p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
15
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
0.3×
BAL Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.17 IP841.5
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
-58
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
hot air · light crosswind · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind7 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-58 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 7 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1
27 60 · AZ Bullpen Proxy
AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
4:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs ?HP
Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness.
Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.
15
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.8×
AZ Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.55 IP838.1
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+47
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp77.5°F Wind5.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
28
·Jj Bleday (L)
56 · Matthew Boyd (LHP)
CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters.
Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.
16
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
·
CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP832.5
Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.
+11
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
hot air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
29 56 · Andrew Abbott (LHP)
CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
1:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
16
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
2.2×
CIN Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+23
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
hot air · light wind out · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
30
·Matt Olson (L) 5
56 · Dustin May (RHP)
ATL @ STL · Busch Stadium
2:15p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side.
Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.
25
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.
1.0×
STL Bullpen · Watch
Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances.
HR/FB12.8% HR/91.03 FIP4.20 IP834.0
Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.
+51
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
hot air · light wind in · roof open
Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call.
Roofopen Temp86.8°F Wind1.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 1 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +2
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242 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 16.7%
A 19.8%
B 19.8%
C+ 16.7%
C 13.6%
D 8.8%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
THR 3.3.92 · build 597

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