Results · 2026-07-12

Showing the latest published results while today's slate is prepared.

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Results · 2026-07-12

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-12. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.6% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	Shohei Ohtani (L)	78	+5.2	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%16.5% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.55 IP838.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+47 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.5°F Wind5.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0	Shohei Ohtani — Home Run OffMitch Bratt Exit Velo111.8 mph Angle33.0° Distance437 ft StadiumDodger Stadium
2	James Wood (L) ³	74	·	Will Warren (RHP) NYY @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV95.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.00 FIP3.76 IP860.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind5.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1	James Wood — Home Run OffWill Warren Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle26.0° Distance434 ft StadiumNationals Park
3	·Ben Rice (L) ³	72	·	Cade Cavalli (RHP) NYY @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.41 FIP4.69 IP853.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+38 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind5.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
4	·Junior Caminero (R) ³	69	·	Emerson Hancock (RHP) SEA @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	28	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.94 FIP3.54 IP843.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
5	·Elly De La Cruz (S)	67	·	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV94.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP832.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+17 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
6	·Pete Alonso (R) ²	67	·	Seth Lugo (RHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.33 FIP4.73 IP840.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-51 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind7 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-51 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 7 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1
7	·Yordan Alvarez (L) ²	67	·	MacKenzie Gore (LHP) HOU @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	31	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.23 FIP4.09 IP841.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+6 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93.8°F Wind4 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 4 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +3
8	·Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	65	·	Tarik Skubal (LHP) PHI @ DET · Comerica Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	32	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.03 FIP3.91 IP864.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-41 Weather · Comerica Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85.4°F Wind6.0 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-41 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note85°F, wind 6 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +2
9	·Sal Stewart (R)	64	·	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP832.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+23 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
10	·Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ³	64	·	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
11	Samuel Basallo (L) ³	64	·	Seth Lugo (RHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.5% HR/91.33 FIP4.73 IP840.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-58 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind7 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-58 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 7 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1	Samuel Basallo — Home Run OffLucas Erceg Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle22.0° Distance404 ft StadiumCamden Yards
12	·Kody Clemens (L) ³	64	·	José Soriano (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.11 FIP4.40 IP860.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Target Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88.1°F Wind6.0 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2
13	·Ketel Marte (S) ²	63	+6.2	Emmet Sheehan (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.7×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.07 FIP3.78 IP817.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+45 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.5°F Wind5.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
14	·Max Muncy (L)	66	+4.8	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	5	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4.3×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.55 IP838.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+47 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.5°F Wind5.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
15	·Mike Trout (R) ³	61	·	Taj Bradley (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.30 IP881.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+13 Weather · Target Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp88.1°F Wind6.0 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +2
16	·Juan Soto (L) ³	61	·	Payton Tolle (LHP) BOS @ NYM · Citi Field	1:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.0% HR/91.12 FIP3.96 IP827.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+14 Weather · Citi Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind8.0 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 8 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3
17	·Corbin Carroll (L) ²	61	+5.6	Emmet Sheehan (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5.8×	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.07 FIP3.78 IP817.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+47 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.5°F Wind5.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
18	·Esmerlyn Valdez (R) ⁴	60	·	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ PIT · PNC Park	12:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%14.8% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/90.96 FIP3.56 IP846.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-19 Weather · PNC Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86.3°F Wind2.0 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 2 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +2
19	·Kazuma Okamoto (R) ⁴	60	+5.3	Germán Márquez (RHP) TOR @ SD · Petco Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP844.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-49 Weather · Petco Park warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.2°F Wind4 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-49 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note77°F, wind 4 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +0
20	·Joc Pederson (L) ³	60	·	Cristian Javier (RHP) HOU @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	HOU Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.44 FIP4.98 IP855.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93.8°F Wind4 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note94°F, wind 4 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +3
21	·Heriberto Hernández (R) ³	59	·	Joey Cantillo (LHP) CLE @ MIA · loanDepot Park	1:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.19 FIP4.05 IP867.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · loanDepot Park neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
22	·Jordan Walker (R)	62	·	ATL Bullpen Proxy ATL @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.14 FIP4.14 IP829.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+58 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86.8°F Wind1.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 1 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +2
23	·Seiya Suzuki (R) ³	58	·	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
24	·Ian Happ (S) ²	58	·	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.2×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
25	Shea Langeliers (R) ⁴	57	·	Noah Schultz (LHP) ATH @ CWS · Rate Field	2:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.09 FIP4.30 IP832.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Shea Langeliers — Home Run OffNoah Schultz Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance411 ft StadiumRate Field
26	·Jac Caglianone (L) ³	57	·	Shane Baz (RHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	BAL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.17 IP841.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-58 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84.2°F Wind7 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-58 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 7 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +1
27	·Freddie Freeman (L)	60	·	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	15	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.8×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.55 IP838.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+47 Weather · Dodger Stadium warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.5°F Wind5.1 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 5 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +0
28	·Jj Bleday (L)	56	·	Matthew Boyd (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	16	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.84 IP832.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+11 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
29	·Dansby Swanson (R) ²	56	·	Andrew Abbott (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.2×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.38 FIP4.95 IP832.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 2 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +1
30	·Matt Olson (L) ⁵	56	·	Dustin May (RHP) ATL @ STL · Busch Stadium	2:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.03 FIP4.20 IP834.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+51 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp86.8°F Wind1.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note87°F, wind 1 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +2

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Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.7%

▼ -0.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.0% prior 15d

Results · 2026-07-15

scoring

⏳

Results scoring in progress

Catch-rate and HR totals for 2026-07-15 update once the night's games finish and the model collects results. Usually live by mid-morning.

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.8%

B 19.8%

C+ 16.7%

C 13.6%

D 8.8%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Results · 2026-07-12

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Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.