14
HRs allowed
8.9%
HR rate (pool)
16.1%
Overall HR/FB
3.73
FIP
3.54
xFIP
+0.18
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
77
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 77th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
74.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.9 EV · 398 ft
max EV allowed 114.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 6 HR ↑
30D · 10 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against MacKenzie Gore.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
44.9%
83.3
31.5°
5
-0.9
Curveball Breaking
21.3%
82.4
4.8°
4
+0.6
Changeup Offspeed
10.9%
79.6
11.4°
0
-1.0
Cutter Hard
9.0%
84.7
18.3°
3
+0.1
Slider Breaking
9.0%
80.0
14.7°
0
-0.9
Sinker Hard
4.9%
82.1
17.3°
0
+0.3
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups158
HRs allowed (pool)14
Pool HR rate8.9%
Pool HR/game day0.74
Top-15 matchups16
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB16.1% 77
HR/9—
FIP3.73 36
xFIP3.54
FIP − xFIP+0.18 59
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed74.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 44.9% usage
-0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle31.5°
HRs allowed5
Pitches826
Curveball
Breaking · 21.3% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.4 mph
Avg launch angle4.8°
HRs allowed4
Pitches392
Changeup
Offspeed · 10.9% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.6 mph
Avg launch angle11.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches201
Cutter
Hard · 9.0% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.7 mph
Avg launch angle18.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches166
Slider
Breaking · 9.0% usage
-0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.0 mph
Avg launch angle14.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches165
Sinker
Hard · 4.9% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.1 mph
Avg launch angle17.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches91
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against MacKenzie Gore.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
14 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.9 EV · 398 ft
10 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
8
2
105.0
2026-07-08
9
2
110.6
2026-07-01
8
2
110.4
2026-06-25
7
1
108.1
2026-06-20
5
1
108.1
2026-06-15
8
2
105.5
2026-06-10
6
0
108.6
2026-06-03
9
0
114.9
2026-05-29
9
0
112.8
2026-05-24
9
0
103.9
2026-05-18
9
0
102.4
2026-05-12
9
1
106.0
2026-05-07
9
0
108.8
2026-05-01
9
0
100.7
2026-04-25
9
1
110.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — MacKenzie Gore isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.