MLB Home Run Predictions — July 8, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-07-08: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for July 8, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
24
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
48.2 vs 43.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #7 | Kyle Schwarber | Chase Burns | 69 | C+ Value |
| #12 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Dean Kremer | 63 | C+ Value |
| #14 | Michael Conforto | Dean Kremer | 62 | C+ Value |
| #18 | Pete Alonso | Colin Rea | 61 | C+ Value |
| #21 | Kyle Karros | Roki Sasaki | 60 | C+ Value |
| #27 | Seiya Suzuki | Dean Kremer | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #30 | CJ Abrams | Spencer Arrighetti | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #38 | Kyle Stowers | George Kirby | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #55 | Spencer Torkelson | Jeffrey Springs | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #62 | Mike Trout | MacKenzie Gore | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #69 | Sal Stewart | Alan Rangel | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #78 | Elly De La Cruz | Alan Rangel | 49 | D Below |
| #80 | Rhys Hoskins | Connor Prielipp | 48 | D Below |
| #87 | Edouard Julien | Roki Sasaki | 48 | D Below |
| #92 | JJ Bleday | Alan Rangel | 47 | D Below |
| #103 | Kazuma Okamoto | Logan Webb | 45 | D Below |
| #128 | Carson Kelly | Dean Kremer | 43 | D Below |
| #135 | Noelvi Marte | Alan Rangel | 42 | D Below |
| #156 | Alec Burleson | Kyle Harrison | 40 | D Below |
| #172 | Jo Adell | MacKenzie Gore | 37 | D Below |
| #192 | Joey Bart | Jared Jones | 34 | D Below |
| #198 | Brayan Rocchio | Connor Prielipp | 34 | D Below |
| #217 | George Springer | Logan Webb | 30 | D Below |
| #234 | José Fermín | Kyle Harrison | 25 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Spencer Torkelson, Mike Trout, Sal Stewart, Elly De La Cruz, Rhys Hoskins, Edouard Julien, JJ Bleday, Kazuma Okamoto, Carson Kelly, Noelvi Marte, Alec Burleson, Jo Adell, Joey Bart, Brayan Rocchio, George Springer, José Fermín
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.