MLB Home Run Predictions — July 7, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-07-07: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for July 7, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
26
HRs by scored batters
4/5
Top-5 picks that homered
4/15
Top-15 picks that homered
43.5 vs 42.9
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | James Wood | Tatsuya Imai | 72 | B AboveAvg |
| #3 | Ben Rice | Ian Seymour | 68 | C+ Value |
| #4 | Shohei Ohtani | Michael Lorenzen | 68 | C+ Value |
| #5 | Kyle Schwarber | Andrew Abbott | 68 | C+ Value |
| #16 | Juan Soto | Seth Lugo | 61 | C+ Value |
| #38 | Jordan Walker | Robert Gasser | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #39 | Owen Caissie | Bryan Woo | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #92 | Rhys Hoskins | Taj Bradley | 47 | D Below |
| #96 | Jordan Walker | Jacob Misiorowski | 46 | D Below |
| #122 | Nick Loftin | Cionel Pérez | 44 | D Below |
| #129 | Cole Young | Max Meyer | 43 | D Below |
| #131 | Yandy Díaz | Will Warren | 43 | D Below |
| #154 | Eugenio Suárez | Zack Wheeler | 40 | D Below |
| #158 | Andruw Monasterio | Noah Schultz | 40 | D Below |
| #168 | Tyler Tolbert | Cionel Pérez | 39 | D Below |
| #175 | Ryan O'Hearn | Hurston Waldrep | 38 | D Below |
| #184 | Ceddanne Rafaela | Noah Schultz | 37 | D Below |
| #191 | Iván Herrera | Robert Gasser | 36 | D Below |
| #196 | Hunter Feduccia | Will Warren | 36 | D Below |
| #198 | Colt Keith | J.T. Ginn | 35 | D Below |
| #199 | Jose Altuve | Andrew Alvarez | 35 | D Below |
| #230 | Iván Herrera | Jacob Misiorowski | 29 | D Below |
| #237 | Henry Bolte | Tarik Skubal | 28 | D Below |
| #243 | Joey Ortiz | Hunter Dobbins | 26 | D Below |
| #255 | Joey Ortiz | Matt Svanson | 24 | D Below |
| #263 | Alejandro Osuna | José Soriano | 17 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Rhys Hoskins, Jordan Walker, Nick Loftin, Cole Young, Yandy Díaz, Eugenio Suárez, Andruw Monasterio, Tyler Tolbert, Ryan O'Hearn, Ceddanne Rafaela, Iván Herrera, Hunter Feduccia, Colt Keith, Jose Altuve, Iván Herrera, Henry Bolte, Joey Ortiz, Joey Ortiz, Alejandro Osuna
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.