MLB Home Run Predictions — June 15, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-15: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 15, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
15
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
53.3 vs 47.0
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | Nick Kurtz | Jared Jones | 81 | A Excellent |
| #7 | Byron Buxton | MacKenzie Gore | 74 | B AboveAvg |
| #12 | JJ Bleday | Tobias Myers | 71 | B AboveAvg |
| #19 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Michael Lorenzen | 67 | C+ Value |
| #20 | Mike Trout | Ryne Nelson | 65 | C+ Value |
| #35 | Isaac Paredes | Troy Melton | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #51 | Spencer Torkelson | Kai-Wei Teng | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #56 | Dylan Crews | Mitch Spence | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #62 | Joc Pederson | Mike Paredes | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #89 | Eugenio Suárez | Tobias Myers | 43 | D Below |
| #98 | Josh Bell | MacKenzie Gore | 41 | D Below |
| #100 | Kyle Tucker | Nick Martinez | 40 | D Below |
| #115 | Colt Keith | Kai-Wei Teng | 37 | D Below |
| #119 | Kevin McGonigle | Kai-Wei Teng | 36 | D Below |
| #136 | Jeff Mcneil | Jared Jones | 27 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Spencer Torkelson, Dylan Crews, Joc Pederson, Eugenio Suárez, Josh Bell, Kyle Tucker, Colt Keith, Kevin McGonigle, Jeff Mcneil
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.