MLB Home Run Predictions — June 14, 2026

The graded receipt for 2026-06-14: what the model predicted, what actually happened.

Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 14, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.

HRs by scored batters

1/5

Top-5 picks that homered

5/15

Top-15 picks that homered

48.0 vs 44.8

Avg score: HR vs miss

Catch rates by cutoff

How many of our top-N picks went yard on 2026-06-14.

Top 5

1/5

20.0%

Top 10

4/10

40.0%

Top 15

5/15

33.3%

Top 25

8/25

32.0%

Home runs, graded

38 home runs by batters the model scored that day, listed by model rank. Low rank = the model called it; high rank = an honest miss.

Rank	Batter	Vs pitcher	Score	Tier
#2	Hunter Goodman	Jeffrey Springs Las Vegas Ballpark	86	A Excellent
#6	Max Muncy	Tomoyuki Sugano Las Vegas Ballpark	81	A Excellent
#8	James Wood	Emerson Hancock Nationals Park	74	B AboveAvg
#10	Tyler Soderstrom	Tomoyuki Sugano Las Vegas Ballpark	73	B AboveAvg
#11	JJ Bleday	Zac Gallen Great American Ball Park	72	B AboveAvg
#16	Ben Rice	Patrick Corbin Rogers Centre	69	C+ Value
#23	Alec Burleson	Taj Bradley Target Field	67	C+ Value
#24	Willson Contreras	Nathan Eovaldi Fenway Park	66	C+ Value
#33	Noelvi Marte	Zac Gallen Great American Ball Park	64	C+ Value
#39	Jackson Chourio	Cristopher Sánchez American Family Field	62	C+ Value
#43	Rodolfo Durán	Trevor Rogers Camden Yards	60	C+ Value
#44	Junior Caminero	Grayson Rodriguez Angel Stadium	60	C+ Value
#49	Colson Montgomery	Emmet Sheehan Rate Field	58	C BelowAvg
#58	Gabriel Moreno	Andrew Abbott Great American Ball Park	57	C BelowAvg
#76	Max Muncy	Bryan Hudson Rate Field	52	C BelowAvg
#84	Jeremiah Jackson	Walker Buehler Camden Yards	50	C BelowAvg
#94	TJ Rumfield	Jeffrey Springs Las Vegas Ballpark	48	D Below
#98	Matt Chapman	Ryan Rolison Oracle Park	48	D Below
#111	Marcus Semien	Bryce Elder Citi Field	46	D Below
#118	Kyle Higashioka	Connelly Early Fenway Park	45	D Below
#121	Tommy Troy	Andrew Abbott Great American Ball Park	45	D Below
#138	Troy Johnston	Jeffrey Springs Las Vegas Ballpark	42	D Below
#141	Keibert Ruiz	Emerson Hancock Nationals Park	41	D Below
#151	Freddie Freeman	Bryan Hudson Rate Field	39	D Below
#159	José Caballero	Patrick Corbin Rogers Centre	38	D Below
#161	JJ Wetherholt	Taj Bradley Target Field	38	D Below
#165	Bryan Reynolds	Max Meyer PNC Park	38	D Below
#170	Wyatt Langford	Connelly Early Fenway Park	37	D Below
#175	Willi Castro	Jeffrey Springs Las Vegas Ballpark	36	D Below
#182	Geraldo Perdomo	Andrew Abbott Great American Ball Park	33	D Below
#184	Davis Schneider	Will Warren Rogers Centre	33	D Below
#199	Mookie Betts	Bryan Hudson Rate Field	28	D Below
#204	Chase Meidroth	Emmet Sheehan Rate Field	27	D Below
#207	Sam Antonacci	Emmet Sheehan Rate Field	26	D Below
#215	Donovan Walton	Casey Legumina Angel Stadium	23	D Below
#220	Ben Williamson	Grayson Rodriguez Angel Stadium	22	D Below
#224	Blake Perkins	Cristopher Sánchez American Family Field	20	D Below
#225	Joe Mack	Paul Skenes PNC Park	19	D Below

Outside the top 50

Batters who homered but sat below our top-50 cut — the misses stay on the page.

Gabriel Moreno, Max Muncy, Jeremiah Jackson, TJ Rumfield, Matt Chapman, Marcus Semien, Kyle Higashioka, Tommy Troy, Troy Johnston, Keibert Ruiz, Freddie Freeman, José Caballero, JJ Wetherholt, Bryan Reynolds, Wyatt Langford, Willi Castro, Geraldo Perdomo, Davis Schneider, Mookie Betts, Chase Meidroth, Sam Antonacci, Donovan Walton, Ben Williamson, Blake Perkins, Joe Mack

The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.

Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.

See plans

MLB Home Run Predictions — June 14, 2026

Catch rates by cutoff

Home runs, graded

Outside the top 50

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.