MLB Home Run Predictions — June 13, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-13: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 13, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
31
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
51.3 vs 44.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4 | Byron Buxton | Matthew Liberatore | 81 | A Excellent |
| #8 | Pete Alonso | Randy Vásquez | 76 | B AboveAvg |
| #11 | Corbin Carroll | Rhett Lowder | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #17 | Colt Emerson | Cade Cavalli | 71 | B AboveAvg |
| #24 | Gavin Sheets | Trey Gibson | 66 | C+ Value |
| #30 | Jackson Chourio | Aaron Nola | 62 | C+ Value |
| #31 | Zack Gelof | Kyle Freeland | 62 | C+ Value |
| #32 | Jordan Walker | Connor Prielipp | 62 | C+ Value |
| #34 | Manny Machado | Trey Gibson | 62 | C+ Value |
| #39 | Shohei Ohtani | Sean Burke | 60 | C+ Value |
| #58 | Christian Walker | Noah Cameron | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #60 | Jackson Merrill | Trey Gibson | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #62 | Paul Goldschmidt | Kevin Gausman | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #63 | Kazuma Okamoto | Cam Schlittler | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #70 | Ian Happ | Trevor McDonald | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #72 | Max Muncy | Sean Burke | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #78 | Royce Lewis | Matthew Liberatore | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #81 | Jasson Domínguez | Kevin Gausman | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #92 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Trevor McDonald | 49 | D Below |
| #93 | Jarren Duran | Jacob deGrom | 49 | D Below |
| #110 | Garrett Mitchell | Aaron Nola | 46 | D Below |
| #114 | Noelvi Marte | Michael Soroka | 46 | D Below |
| #124 | Eli White | Sean Manaea | 44 | D Below |
| #152 | Iván Herrera | Connor Prielipp | 37 | D Below |
| #154 | Edmundo Sosa | Shane Drohan | 37 | D Below |
| #157 | Jake Burger | Ranger Suarez | 36 | D Below |
| #162 | Lane Thomas | Mike Burrows | 36 | D Below |
| #171 | Brice Matthews | Noah Cameron | 34 | D Below |
| #202 | Tristan Peters | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 26 | D Below |
| #208 | Jake Meyers | Noah Cameron | 23 | D Below |
| #210 | Luke Keaschall | Matthew Liberatore | 23 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Christian Walker, Jackson Merrill, Paul Goldschmidt, Kazuma Okamoto, Ian Happ, Max Muncy, Royce Lewis, Jasson Domínguez, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Jarren Duran, Garrett Mitchell, Noelvi Marte, Eli White, Iván Herrera, Edmundo Sosa, Jake Burger, Lane Thomas, Brice Matthews, Tristan Peters, Jake Meyers, Luke Keaschall
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.