MLB Home Run Predictions — July 29, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-07-29: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for July 29, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
20
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
0/15
Top-15 picks that homered
44.6 vs 41.0
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #19 | Matt Olson | Sean Manaea | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #20 | Kyle Manzardo | Brady Singer | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #27 | Matt Olson | Christian Scott | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #28 | Munetaka Murakami | Cam Schlittler | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #32 | Andruw Monasterio | Jacob Lopez | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #40 | Andy Pages | Emerson Hancock | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #50 | Jeremy Peña | Grayson Rodriguez | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #55 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Dustin May | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #61 | Heriberto Hernández | Jesús Luzardo | 49 | D Below |
| #85 | Spencer Torkelson | Trevor Rogers | 45 | D Below |
| #95 | Ryan Vilade | MacKenzie Gore | 44 | D Below |
| #120 | Yainer Diaz | Grayson Rodriguez | 41 | D Below |
| #129 | Trea Turner | Ryan Gusto | 40 | D Below |
| #132 | Yandy Díaz | MacKenzie Gore | 40 | D Below |
| #158 | Lawrence Butler | Patrick Sandoval | 38 | D Below |
| #175 | Spencer Jones | Davis Martin | 35 | D Below |
| #203 | Sam Antonacci | Cam Schlittler | 33 | D Below |
| #204 | Gabriel Moreno | Jared Jones | 33 | D Below |
| #214 | Tyler Tolbert | Joe Ryan | 32 | D Below |
| #259 | Daniel Susac | MIL Bullpen Proxy | 22 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Pete Crow-Armstrong, Heriberto Hernández, Spencer Torkelson, Ryan Vilade, Yainer Diaz, Trea Turner, Yandy Díaz, Lawrence Butler, Spencer Jones, Sam Antonacci, Gabriel Moreno, Tyler Tolbert, Daniel Susac
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.