Cristian Javier
RHP
HOU
3
HRs Allowed
16.7%
HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
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HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
·
HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
16.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
18
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
16.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% | 1.0 | 95.0mph | 96.0mph | 32.0° | 378ft | Down -5.6pp |
| Last 15 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 16.7% | 1.5 | 95.4mph | 99.9mph | 25.3° | 360ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 16.7% | 1.5 | 95.4mph | 99.9mph | 25.3° | 360ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
95.4
Avg Max EV
108.9
Max EV Allowed
7
Hard-Hit Proxy · 53.8%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
99.9
Avg HR EV
25.3°
Avg HR Launch
360
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Ezequiel Tovar | 108.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Hunter Goodman | 96.0mph | 96.0mph | 32° | 378ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-28 | Yoan Moncada | 104.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jorge Soler | 104.4mph | 104.4mph | 20° | 363ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-28 | Mike Trout | 102.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jo Adell | 100.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Nolan Schanuel | 99.9mph | 99.2mph | 24° | 339ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Hunter Goodman | #71 | 53 | Coors Field | 96.0mph | 32.0° | 378.0ft |
| 2026-03-28 | Jorge Soler | #185 | 38 | Minute Maid Park | 104.4mph | 20.0° | 363.0ft |
| 2026-03-28 | Nolan Schanuel | #232 | 28 | Minute Maid Park | 99.2mph | 24.0° | 339.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 112 | 47.5% | +4.0 | 83.1 | 39.4° | 2 |
| Sweeper | 59 | 25.0% | +3.8 | 83.2 | 28.1° | 1 |
| Changeup | 40 | 16.9% | +1.6 | 79.3 | 26.8° | 0 |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Tyler Freeman | #238 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Ryan Ritter | #232 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Ezequiel Tovar | #200 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Brenton Doyle | #188 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Jordan Beck | #167 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Kyle Farmer | #164 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Michael Toglia | #112 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-08 | Hunter Goodman | #71 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-08 | Mickey Moniak | #24 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Nolan Schanuel | #232 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-28 | Luis Rengifo | #227 | 25 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jorge Soler | #185 | 38 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-03-28 | Yoan Moncada | #178 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Logan O'Hoppe | #177 | 37 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Zach Neto | #171 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Taylor Ward | #168 | 47 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Mike Trout | #145 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Jo Adell | #142 | 49 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |