13
HRs allowed
17.3%
HR rate (pool)
14.4%
Overall HR/FB
4.56
FIP
4.72
xFIP
-0.16
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
67
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 67th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
67.6%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 101.9 EV · 388 ft
max EV allowed 110.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Robert Gasser.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sweeper Breaking
27.4%
82.5
24.7°
3
+0.9
Sinker Hard
25.2%
84.0
12.0°
1
+0.4
Fastball Hard
22.4%
80.3
40.2°
2
-0.2
Cutter Hard
17.1%
85.6
14.6°
2
-0.2
Changeup Offspeed
7.9%
89.4
18.4°
2
+4.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups75
HRs allowed (pool)13
Pool HR rate17.3%
Pool HR/game day1.44
Top-15 matchups2
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB14.4% 67
HR/9—
FIP4.56 68
xFIP4.72
FIP − xFIP-0.16 38
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed67.6%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sweeper
Breaking · 27.4% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle24.7°
HRs allowed3
Pitches230
Sinker
Hard · 25.2% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle12.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches211
Fastball
Hard · 22.4% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.3 mph
Avg launch angle40.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches188
Cutter
Hard · 17.1% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.6 mph
Avg launch angle14.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches143
Changeup
Offspeed · 7.9% usage
+4.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against89.4 mph
Avg launch angle18.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches66
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Robert Gasser.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
13 allowed · scored pool
avg 101.9 EV · 388 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
9
2
103.6
2026-07-07
7
2
110.4
2026-06-29
8
1
108.1
2026-06-21
8
0
102.8
2026-06-16
8
0
102.1
2026-06-09
8
5
106.9
2026-06-03
9
1
107.4
2026-05-23
9
1
105.6
2026-05-17
9
1
107.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Robert Gasser isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.