⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
PIT RHB
Marcell Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna

RHB
PIT · 51 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
7.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
13.4%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
88.9
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.119
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#15
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 10 games · 4 HRs in 51 games
Due (1×)
1.1×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
11
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
10
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
51
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
4
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#143.0
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
51 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-29 #182 Taj Bradley R/R * 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-28 #59 Colin Rea R/R * 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-27 #120 Jameson Taillon R/R * 8.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-26 #197 Jordan Wicks R/R * 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-25 #178 Ben Brown R/R * 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-23 #169 Patrick Corbin R/L * 9.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-22 #160 Kevin Gausman R/R * 16.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-21 #56 Dustin May R/R * 11.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-20 #166 Michael McGreevy R/R * 13.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-19 #113 Matthew Liberatore R/L * 12.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-16 #173 Cristopher Sánchez R/L * 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 #172 Aaron Nola R/R * 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-14 #112 Chase Dollander R/R * 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-13 #212 Jose Quintana R/L * 8.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-12 #226 Michael Lorenzen R/R * 8.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-10 #209 Tyler Mahle R/R * 14.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-09 #244 Landen Roupp R/R * 8.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-07 #176 Zac Gallen R/R * 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #264 Michael Soroka R/R * 7.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-05 #173 Eduardo Rodriguez R/L * 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-03 #218 Chase Burns R/R * 5.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 #238 Rhett Lowder R/R * 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-01 #241 Brady Singer R/R * 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-29 #233 Andre Pallante R/R * 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-28 #161 Kyle Leahy R/R * 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-27 #87 Dustin May R/R * 7.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-04-26 #69 Kyle Harrison R/L * 12.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-25 #149 Jacob Misiorowski R/R 9.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-24 #123 Brandon Woodruff R/R 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-23 #114 Jacob deGrom R/R 7.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-22 #190 Jack Leiter R/R 8.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-19 #222 Shane McClanahan R/L 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 #243 Drew Rasmussen R/R 5.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-17 #221 Nick Martinez R/R 5.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-16 #154 Foster Griffin R/L 5.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-13 #15 Eury Pérez R/R 15.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 #29 Tanner Bibee R/R 17.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 #93 Parker Messick R/L 11.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-10 #111 Shota Imanaga R/L 11.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 #90 Reid Detmers R/L 11.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-07 #90 Yusei Kikuchi R/L 11.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-06 #59 José Soriano R/R 12.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-05 #96 Brandon Pfaadt R/R 12.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 #94 Michael Soroka R/R 12.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-02 #19 Ryne Nelson R/R 10.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 #121 Luis Severino R/R 11.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 #79 Aaron Civale R/R 13.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 #66 Jacob Lopez R/L 14.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-28 #152 Michael Wacha · 10.3% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 #118 David Peterson · 11.4% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-27 #37 Cole Ragans · 13.7% ⚪ D · — ·

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