22
HRs allowed
13.0%
HR rate (pool)
16.7%
Overall HR/FB
4.83
FIP
4.7
xFIP
+0.13
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
80
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 80th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
73.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.4 EV · 395 ft
max EV allowed 113.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 9 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Andrew Abbott.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
46.5%
85.3
27.3°
10
+0.1
Sweeper Breaking
20.7%
78.7
28.6°
2
+0.2
Changeup Offspeed
17.8%
79.6
10.6°
3
+0.3
Curveball Breaking
13.2%
81.0
17.9°
2
+0.3
Cutter Hard
1.8%
79.6
12.3°
0
-2.3
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups169
HRs allowed (pool)22
Pool HR rate13.0%
Pool HR/game day1.1
Top-15 matchups15
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB16.7% 80
HR/9—
FIP4.83 75
xFIP4.7
FIP − xFIP+0.13 56
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed73.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 46.5% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle27.3°
HRs allowed10
Pitches883
Sweeper
Breaking · 20.7% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.7 mph
Avg launch angle28.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches393
Changeup
Offspeed · 17.8% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.6 mph
Avg launch angle10.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches339
Curveball
Breaking · 13.2% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle17.9°
HRs allowed2
Pitches250
Cutter
Hard · 1.8% usage
-2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.6 mph
Avg launch angle12.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches35
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Andrew Abbott.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
22 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.4 EV · 395 ft
9 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
8
1
103.4
2026-07-07
8
1
112.2
2026-07-01
8
0
108.5
2026-06-26
9
3
108.9
2026-06-20
7
1
106.2
2026-06-14
8
3
111.0
2026-06-08
6
0
103.3
2026-06-02
9
0
104.6
2026-05-27
9
2
110.1
2026-05-20
9
2
107.0
2026-05-15
9
1
105.6
2026-05-10
9
0
105.0
2026-05-05
9
1
108.5
2026-04-30
9
1
103.4
2026-04-24
9
3
108.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Andrew Abbott isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.