36
HRs allowed
13.2%
HR rate (pool)
17.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.83
FIP
4.69
xFIP
+0.14
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
77
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 77th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
18.3%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.6 EV · 399 ft
max EV allowed 113.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 6 HR ↑
30D · 11 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Andrew Abbott.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
44.7%
85.2
27.7°
14
+0.5
Sweeper Breaking
19.5%
79.5
27.6°
4
+0.2
Changeup Offspeed
19.4%
79.1
10.3°
4
+0.5
Curveball Breaking
12.9%
81.5
15.5°
4
+1.1
Cutter Hard
3.4%
78.9
15.8°
1
-0.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups273
HRs allowed (pool)36
Pool HR rate13.2%
Pool HR/game day1.12
Top-15 matchups21
HRs to top-154
Overall HR/FB17.2% 77
HR/9—
FIP4.83 78
xFIP4.69
FIP − xFIP+0.14 56
Barrel% allowed18.3%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-10-17
Fastball
Hard · 44.7% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle27.7°
HRs allowed14
Pitches1316
Sweeper
Breaking · 19.5% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.5 mph
Avg launch angle27.6°
HRs allowed4
Pitches575
Changeup
Offspeed · 19.4% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.1 mph
Avg launch angle10.3°
HRs allowed4
Pitches570
Curveball
Breaking · 12.9% usage
+1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle15.5°
HRs allowed4
Pitches380
Cutter
Hard · 3.4% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.9 mph
Avg launch angle15.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches101
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Andrew Abbott.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
36 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.6 EV · 399 ft
11 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-09-23
9
2
107.4
2026-09-16
9
0
105.5
2026-09-11
9
4
110.9
2026-09-05
9
1
106.2
2026-08-29
9
4
107.0
2026-08-23
9
0
107.1
2026-08-18
8
1
105.6
2026-08-13
9
0
113.0
2026-08-06
7
0
105.2
2026-08-01
8
0
102.1
2026-07-26
9
1
111.1
2026-07-20
9
1
109.1
2026-07-12
8
1
103.4
2026-07-07
8
1
112.2
2026-07-01
8
0
108.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Andrew Abbott isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Andrew Abbott isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
126
14
11%
18
5
28%
17
4
24%
9
3
33%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 16. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Andrew Abbott
How many home runs has Andrew Abbott allowed this season?
Andrew Abbott has allowed 36 home runs across 32 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Andrew Abbott?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Andrew Abbott include William Contreras (3), Alex Bregman (2), Carson Kelly (2) and 46 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.