⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
William Contreras

William Contreras

RHB
MIL · 51 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
7.8%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.3%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.4
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.131
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#25
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 13 games · 4 HRs in 51 games
Due (1×)
0.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
6
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
13
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
51
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
5
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#132.4
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
51 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-30 #126 Peter Lambert R/R * 11.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #125 Kai-Wei Teng R/R * 7.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-27 #137 Dustin May R/R * 8.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-26 #108 Michael McGreevy R/R * 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-25 #86 Matthew Liberatore R/L * 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-24 #135 Yoshinobu Yamamoto R/R * 10.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 #200 Justin Wrobleski R/L * 3.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-20 #137 Edward Cabrera R/R * 12.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-19 #181 Ben Brown R/R * 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-18 #202 Shota Imanaga R/L * 4.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-17 #167 Bailey Ober R/R * 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 #186 Connor Prielipp R/L * 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 #209 Joe Ryan R/R * 5.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-14 #123 Griffin Canning R/R * 9.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-13 #184 Michael King R/R * 9.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-12 #177 Matt Waldron R/R * 7.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-09 #193 Cam Schlittler R/R * 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-08 #140 Max Fried R/L * 4.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-06 #213 Andre Pallante R/R * 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-05 #155 Andre Pallante R/R * 8.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-04 #119 Kyle Leahy R/R * 10.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-03 #138 Zack Littell R/R * 10.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #137 Foster Griffin R/L * 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #94 Jake Irvin R/R * 11.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-30 #145 Michael Soroka R/R * 8.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 💥
2026-04-29 #179 Eduardo Rodriguez R/L * 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-26 #100 Carmen Mlodzinski R/R * 8.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-25 #176 Mitch Keller R/R 6.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-24 #150 Paul Skenes R/R 8.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-23 #103 Tarik Skubal R/L 5.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-22 #128 Casey Mize R/R 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-21 #135 Keider Montero R/R 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-18 #188 Sandy Alcantara R/R 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 #188 Janson Junk R/R 10.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-16 #43 Patrick Corbin R/L 13.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-15 #61 Dylan Cease R/R 8.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 #41 Kevin Gausman R/R 16.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 #36 Zack Littell R/R 15.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-10 #124 Jake Irvin R/R 10.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-08 #150 Sonny Gray R/R 7.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-07 #152 Garrett Crochet R/L 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-06 #106 Brayan Bello R/R 9.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-05 #195 Kris Bubic R/L 8.1% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-04 #218 Luinder Avila R/ 1.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-04 #74 Seth Lugo R/ 13.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 #47 Drew Rasmussen R/R 14.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-03-31 #25 Shane McClanahan R/L 17.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-03-30 #96 Nick Martinez R/R 13.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ 💥
2026-03-29 #97 Anthony Kay R/L 12.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-28 #56 Sean Burke · 14.4% ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-26 #68 Shane Smith · 12.2% ⚪ D · — ·

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