18
HRs allowed
10.3%
HR rate (pool)
18.0%
Overall HR/FB
3.14
FIP
3.25
xFIP
-0.11
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
83
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 83th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
69.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.5 EV · 395 ft
max EV allowed 112.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 9 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kevin Gausman.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
51.4%
84.1
28.3°
7
-1.4
Splitter Offspeed
38.6%
77.2
7.6°
4
+0.4
Slider Breaking
10.0%
84.8
15.8°
5
+3.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups174
HRs allowed (pool)18
Pool HR rate10.3%
Pool HR/game day0.9
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-154
Overall HR/FB18.0% 83
HR/9—
FIP3.14 18
xFIP3.25
FIP − xFIP-0.11 41
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed69.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 51.4% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle28.3°
HRs allowed7
Pitches995
Splitter
Offspeed · 38.6% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.2 mph
Avg launch angle7.6°
HRs allowed4
Pitches747
Slider
Breaking · 10.0% usage
+3.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.8 mph
Avg launch angle15.8°
HRs allowed5
Pitches194
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kevin Gausman.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
18 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.5 EV · 395 ft
9 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
7
0
107.6
2026-07-06
8
1
111.7
2026-06-30
8
2
108.8
2026-06-25
9
3
107.7
2026-06-19
9
1
105.7
2026-06-13
7
2
103.2
2026-06-07
9
2
111.7
2026-06-02
9
1
109.8
2026-05-27
9
0
105.5
2026-05-22
9
0
106.7
2026-05-17
9
0
105.9
2026-05-11
9
1
106.5
2026-05-05
9
0
103.0
2026-04-30
9
2
105.3
2026-04-25
9
0
104.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kevin Gausman isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.