24
HRs allowed
10.0%
HR rate (pool)
17.9%
Overall HR/FB
3.31
FIP
3.37
xFIP
-0.06
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
80
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 80th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
14.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed
68.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.3 EV · 396 ft
max EV allowed 112.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kevin Gausman.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
51.5%
83.6
27.4°
10
-0.7
Splitter Offspeed
38.1%
77.3
7.2°
4
-0.1
Slider Breaking
9.4%
82.7
14.3°
5
+3.2
Changeup Offspeed
1.0%
85.2
32.2°
0
-2.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups241
HRs allowed (pool)24
Pool HR rate10.0%
Pool HR/game day0.86
Top-15 matchups17
HRs to top-155
Overall HR/FB17.9% 80
HR/9—
FIP3.31 22
xFIP3.37
FIP − xFIP-0.06 41
Barrel% allowed14.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed68.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-30
Fastball
Hard · 51.5% usage
-0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle27.4°
HRs allowed10
Pitches1328
Splitter
Offspeed · 38.1% usage
-0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.3 mph
Avg launch angle7.2°
HRs allowed4
Pitches984
Slider
Breaking · 9.4% usage
+3.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.7 mph
Avg launch angle14.3°
HRs allowed5
Pitches242
Changeup
Offspeed · 1.0% usage
-2.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle32.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches26
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kevin Gausman.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
24 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.3 EV · 396 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-29
8
2
105.9
2026-08-24
8
0
103.2
2026-08-18
9
1
111.1
2026-08-13
7
0
106.9
2026-08-07
8
1
106.2
2026-08-01
9
0
112.4
2026-07-26
9
0
108.0
2026-07-21
9
2
107.7
2026-07-12
7
0
107.6
2026-07-06
8
1
111.7
2026-06-30
8
2
108.8
2026-06-25
9
3
107.7
2026-06-19
9
1
105.7
2026-06-13
7
2
103.2
2026-06-07
9
2
111.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kevin Gausman isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Kevin Gausman isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
114
13
11%
26
4
15%
9
2
22%
17
1
6%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 13. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Kevin Gausman
How many home runs has Kevin Gausman allowed this season?
Kevin Gausman has allowed 24 home runs across 28 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Kevin Gausman?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Kevin Gausman include Matt Olson (2), Wyatt Langford (2), Austin Riley (1) and 39 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.