MLB Home Run Predictions — June 25, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-25: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 25, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
15
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
52.9 vs 41.3
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #5 | Kazuma Okamoto | MacKenzie Gore | 70 | B AboveAvg |
| #8 | Dillon Dingler | Tatsuya Imai | 67 | C+ Value |
| #11 | Joc Pederson | Kevin Gausman | 64 | C+ Value |
| #18 | Wyatt Langford | Kevin Gausman | 60 | C+ Value |
| #21 | Jake Burger | Kevin Gausman | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #23 | Bryce Harper | Cade Cavalli | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #24 | Curtis Mead | Cristopher Sánchez | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #29 | Junior Caminero | Seth Lugo | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #39 | Brandon Lowe | Bryce Miller | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #46 | Willy Adames | Jeffrey Springs | 49 | D Below |
| #51 | Brandon Marsh | Cade Cavalli | 48 | D Below |
| #60 | Carter Jensen | Casey Legumina | 47 | D Below |
| #79 | José Caballero | Connelly Early | 40 | D Below |
| #99 | Henry Davis | Bryce Miller | 35 | D Below |
| #114 | Caleb Durbin | Cam Schlittler | 31 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Brandon Marsh, Carter Jensen, José Caballero, Henry Davis, Caleb Durbin
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.