MLB Home Run Predictions — June 26, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-26: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 26, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
27
HRs by scored batters
2/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
50.3 vs 44.9
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4 | Kazuma Okamoto | Nathan Eovaldi | 74 | B AboveAvg |
| #5 | Hunter Goodman | Taj Bradley | 74 | B AboveAvg |
| #13 | Kody Clemens | Tomoyuki Sugano | 69 | C+ Value |
| #25 | Junior Caminero | Zac Gallen | 64 | C+ Value |
| #27 | Miguel Vargas | Steven Cruz | 63 | C+ Value |
| #31 | Ty France | Roki Sasaki | 61 | C+ Value |
| #33 | Brooks Lee | Tomoyuki Sugano | 61 | C+ Value |
| #37 | Andrew Benintendi | Steven Cruz | 60 | C+ Value |
| #40 | Justin Foscue | Patrick Corbin | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #42 | Esmerlyn Valdez | Andrew Abbott | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #43 | Garrett Mitchell | Colin Rea | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #52 | Willson Contreras | Will Warren | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #57 | Colt Emerson | Joey Cantillo | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #73 | William Contreras | Colin Rea | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #89 | Kerry Carpenter | Spencer Arrighetti | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #115 | Mookie Betts | Walker Buehler | 46 | D Below |
| #123 | Jake McCarthy | Taj Bradley | 45 | D Below |
| #137 | Tristan Peters | Steven Cruz | 42 | D Below |
| #144 | Seiya Suzuki | Jacob Misiorowski | 41 | D Below |
| #154 | Jo Adell | J.T. Ginn | 39 | D Below |
| #155 | James Outman | Spencer Arrighetti | 38 | D Below |
| #182 | Marcell Ozuna | Andrew Abbott | 35 | D Below |
| #188 | Cedric Mullins | Zac Gallen | 34 | D Below |
| #190 | Colt Keith | Spencer Arrighetti | 33 | D Below |
| #199 | Konnor Griffin | Andrew Abbott | 33 | D Below |
| #218 | Geraldo Perdomo | Nick Martinez | 28 | D Below |
| #224 | Jacob Gonzalez | Steven Cruz | 25 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Willson Contreras, Colt Emerson, William Contreras, Kerry Carpenter, Mookie Betts, Jake McCarthy, Tristan Peters, Seiya Suzuki, Jo Adell, James Outman, Marcell Ozuna, Cedric Mullins, Colt Keith, Konnor Griffin, Geraldo Perdomo, Jacob Gonzalez
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.