MLB Home Run Predictions — June 19, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-19: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 19, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4 | Zach Neto | Jeffrey Springs | 78 | B AboveAvg |
| #6 | Ben Rice | Rhett Lowder | 76 | B AboveAvg |
| #8 | Max Muncy | Trey Gibson | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #9 | Pete Alonso | Roki Sasaki | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #18 | Gunnar Henderson | Roki Sasaki | 68 | C+ Value |
| #33 | Randal Grichuk | Tarik Skubal | 63 | C+ Value |
| #41 | CJ Abrams | Griffin Jax | 61 | C+ Value |
| #52 | Mookie Betts | Trey Gibson | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #62 | Jonathan Aranda | PJ Poulin | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #70 | TJ Rumfield | Bubba Chandler | 52 | C BelowAvg |
| #84 | Jac Caglianone | Michael McGreevy | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #86 | Logan O'Hoppe | Jeffrey Springs | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #93 | Royce Lewis | Michael Soroka | 49 | D Below |
| #97 | Rhys Hoskins | Tatsuya Imai | 48 | D Below |
| #107 | Rafael Devers | Lake Bachar | 47 | D Below |
| #110 | George Springer | Ben Brown | 47 | D Below |
| #114 | Owen Caissie | Landen Roupp | 46 | D Below |
| #116 | Gavin Sheets | Jacob deGrom | 45 | D Below |
| #121 | Wyatt Langford | Randy Vásquez | 44 | D Below |
| #125 | Ketel Marte | Connor Prielipp | 43 | D Below |
| #127 | Josh Bell | Michael Soroka | 43 | D Below |
| #129 | Jeremy Peña | Tanner Bibee | 43 | D Below |
| #130 | Ty France | Jacob deGrom | 42 | D Below |
| #143 | Lawrence Butler | José Soriano | 39 | D Below |
| #146 | Jonny DeLuca | PJ Poulin | 39 | D Below |
| #149 | Julio Rodríguez | Ranger Suarez | 38 | D Below |
| #150 | Nolan Schanuel | Jeffrey Springs | 38 | D Below |
| #161 | Matt Vierling | Brandon Eisert | 36 | D Below |
| #170 | Víctor Caratini | Michael Soroka | 33 | D Below |
| #171 | Caleb Durbin | Bryce Miller | 33 | D Below |
| #177 | Carson Kelly | Kevin Gausman | 31 | D Below |
| #180 | Jacob Wilson | José Soriano | 30 | D Below |
| #201 | Mike Yastrzemski | Jacob Misiorowski | 24 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Mookie Betts, Jonathan Aranda, TJ Rumfield, Jac Caglianone, Logan O'Hoppe, Royce Lewis, Rhys Hoskins, Rafael Devers, George Springer, Owen Caissie, Gavin Sheets, Wyatt Langford, Ketel Marte, Josh Bell, Jeremy Peña, Ty France, Lawrence Butler, Jonny DeLuca, Julio Rodríguez, Nolan Schanuel, Matt Vierling, Víctor Caratini, Caleb Durbin, Carson Kelly, Jacob Wilson, Mike Yastrzemski