MLB Home Run Predictions — June 20, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-06-20: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for June 20, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
25
HRs by scored batters
2/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
54.0 vs 46.6
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Byron Buxton | Zac Gallen | 86 | A Excellent |
| #4 | Shohei Ohtani | Trevor Rogers | 80 | A Excellent |
| #11 | Kyle Schwarber | Freddy Peralta | 73 | B AboveAvg |
| #16 | Paul Goldschmidt | Andrew Abbott | 69 | C+ Value |
| #25 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Patrick Corbin | 66 | C+ Value |
| #26 | Spencer Horwitz | Tomoyuki Sugano | 66 | C+ Value |
| #40 | CJ Abrams | Ian Seymour | 61 | C+ Value |
| #41 | Kazuma Okamoto | Colin Rea | 60 | C+ Value |
| #50 | Dillon Dingler | Sean Newcomb | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #55 | Bryce Harper | Freddy Peralta | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #59 | Spencer Steer | Will Warren | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #60 | Dylan Crews | Ian Seymour | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #89 | Sam Antonacci | Troy Melton | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #108 | Kyle Manzardo | Spencer Arrighetti | 47 | D Below |
| #113 | Jake Burger | Walker Buehler | 46 | D Below |
| #116 | Matt Shaw | Patrick Corbin | 46 | D Below |
| #117 | Manny Machado | MacKenzie Gore | 46 | D Below |
| #121 | Casey Schmitt | Max Meyer | 45 | D Below |
| #123 | Mark Vientos | Cristopher Sánchez | 45 | D Below |
| #131 | Daulton Varsho | Colin Rea | 44 | D Below |
| #135 | Travis Bazzana | Spencer Arrighetti | 43 | D Below |
| #139 | Wilyer Abreu | Emerson Hancock | 42 | D Below |
| #150 | Carson Benge | Cristopher Sánchez | 39 | D Below |
| #173 | Jake McCarthy | Paul Skenes | 34 | D Below |
| #176 | Ozzie Albies | Kyle Harrison | 34 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Bryce Harper, Spencer Steer, Dylan Crews, Sam Antonacci, Kyle Manzardo, Jake Burger, Matt Shaw, Manny Machado, Casey Schmitt, Mark Vientos, Daulton Varsho, Travis Bazzana, Wilyer Abreu, Carson Benge, Jake McCarthy, Ozzie Albies
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.